### **Summary of Chaotic Assault Cosmetic Ability Scroll** The Chaotic Assault cosmetic ability scroll was first introduced into RuneScape 3 in March 2023 as a limited-time reward from Treasure Hunter. It allows players to unlock a cosmetic override that re-skins the Assault ability with a chaotic, blue-tinted effect derived from the Dungeoneering theme. Its striking visual appeal and association with Chaotic weaponry made it highly coveted among PvM enthusiasts and fashion-scape collectors. As a Treasure Hunter-exclusive item, the rarity of the Chaotic Assault scroll is tied to its supply during its promotional run. However, items of this nature often experience lean resupplies, driving increased value for collectors. Its appeal is further enhanced by the scarcity of cosmetic ability overrides in general, making it a niche luxury purchase for high-end players. --- ### **Rarity and Historical Price Trends** The price history data and broader economic context for RuneScape show that Chaotic Assault has experienced volatile fluctuations over time: - **March 2024:** Early signs of price stabilization around 120M–150M post-combat update (03/04/2024), as PvM players sought fresh cosmetics for newly impacted abilities. - **June-July 2024:** Exploits like the Max Cash update (05/15/2024) and inflationary Treasure Hunter promotions caused GP influx, resulting in an unsustainable spike to 249M (06/17/2024). Players anticipating Sanctum of Rebirth-related gear upgrades may have cashed out other assets in July, leading to a drop to ~82M. - **September 2024 & Beyond:** A jump back to 164M in mid-September could be tied to recent updates—such as the Hero Pass system backlash (09/05/2023) and the Mining & Smithing rework (08/12/2024)—pushing players toward cosmetics rather than gameplay-critical items. Recent data shows a downward correction post-September peak, reflecting likely sell-offs due to end-of-year GP outlays or GIM-related instability affecting speculative investors (11/01/2024). --- ### **Current and Future Price Prediction** Given historical patterns and external economic factors: 1. **Short-Term Prediction (1-2 months):** Expect slight price corrections to the **90M–120M** range by early December 2024. This is attributed to the year-end GP depletion caused by the anticipated holiday-themed promotions and the broader demand for rare tradeable items such as the Black Partyhat. 2. **Medium-Term Prediction (3-6 months):** Long-term growth is probable, especially if Jagex maintains the scarcity of re-releases for Treasure Hunter exclusive items amidst cosmetic demand. By mid-2025, the price could recuperate to the **150M–180M** range if inflation from GP injections stabilizes. 3. **Key Drivers of Spikes or Dips:** - **Positive Price Pressures:** Removal of Chaotic Assault from being reissued on the Treasure Hunter platform and increasing rarity-driven desirability among collectors. - **Negative Pressures:** Potential GP sinks or deflationary policies (e.g., microtransaction regulation), or Jagex re-issuing ability overrides for events like Fresh Start Worlds-style resets. --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** - **Short-Term Flipping:** Given price movements are volatile but regularly range between 90M and 120M currently, flippers can aim for **5M–10M profit margins per trade** by buying during listing lulls (weekdays/evening resets) and selling during promotional or weekend GP influx cycles. - **High-Capital Flipping:** For wealthier merchants, rare spikes (e.g., the jump to 164M in September) can offer margins up to **25M–40M per unit** if the scroll is acquired during subdued periods such as post-2024 holiday events. --- ### **Similar Items to Consider** 1. **Cosmetic Ability Scrolls:** - **Armadyl Assault:** An older but visually appealing override with steady high-end demand, albeit not as rare as Chaotic Assault. - **Saradomin Strike:** A more niche override with periods of underappreciation but solid long-term growth. 2. **Rare Treasure Hunter Untradeables Now Tradeable:** - **Jad Pet Token:** Limited availability and a strong audience among boss-pet collectors make this a high-return alternative. - **Death Lotus Cosmetic Scroll:** A rival PvM-centric choice, benefiting from high aesthetic value. 3. **Discontinued Seasonal Items:** - **Spring Cleaner Blueprints (rare drops):** Complementary investments due to their niche but lucrative market for efficiency-minded PvMers. --- ### **Seasonal Market Trends** 1. **Positive Price Movements:** - **Holiday Promotions (May–June & October–December):** Winter promo events drive liquidity toward cosmetics. - **Post-Major Content Updates (e.g., Necromancy, Combat Evolutions):** New mechanics refresh interest in PvM-related cosmetics. 2. **Negative Price Trends:** - **Post-Treasure Hunter Promotions (March–April window):** Increase in fresh supply often temporarily depresses prices for rare scrolls. - **Mid-Year Summer Burnout:** Players withdraw capital from rare assets, likely reinvesting into PvM gear or bonds during seasonal lulls. --- ### **Final Recommendations** For merchants, aggressively accumulating Chaotic Assault at sub-100M prices during off-peak periods will yield reliable returns, provided GP inflation continues to push demand for cosmetics. Diversify by holding "replacement alternatives" like Armadyl Assault while keeping notable GP liquidity to capitalize on price dips after major Treasure Hunter re-promotions.