### Azure Hurricane Cosmetic Ability Scroll Overview The **Azure Hurricane cosmetic ability scroll** allows players to override the animation for the Hurricane ability with a distinctive azure-colored effect. It was likely introduced through **Treasure Hunter** or a **limited-time promotional event**, typical for cosmetic overrides of this kind in RuneScape 3. It does not provide any gameplay advantage, existing solely as a cosmetic enhancement for players who want to customize their combat style. #### **Release and Rarity** While the exact release date is uncertain, its mechanics (single-use scrolls) and the history of similar cosmetic items suggest it was part of a **time-limited Treasure Hunter event** or **rare prize pool**. Over time, its increasing price indicates it has become a desirable collector's item, likely due to the dwindling supply (being consumable) and its aesthetic value. #### **Historical Price Trends** The price history for Azure Hurricane shows distinct volatility, with multiple spikes and dips suggesting a reactive market. Notable points from the data include: 1. **Initial Inflation Spike (March 2024)**: - On 03/17/2024, prices shot from around 100M to 500M GP within days. This spike likely correlates with the **RuneScape combat update (03/04/2024)**, which may have renewed interest in flashy combat cosmetics. - The combat update might also have increased demand for appearance customization, further driving demand. 2. **Rebound and Decline Post Max Cash Exploit (April-May 2024)**: - Prices peaked again at ~300M in late April before dropping to 99M in June. During this period, the **Max Cash exploit (05/15/2024)** and **Easter Egg Pets dupe (04/01/2024)** likely disrupted the economy, injecting high quantities of GP and devaluing collectibles temporarily. Players prioritized core high-demand items (e.g., Bonds or high-value rares) over cosmetics. 3. **Recent Stabilization (July-November 2024)**: - After the rework-heavy months of August and September, Azure Hurricane rebounded to ~275M by November. The increased gold from Treasure Hunter (11/01/2024) likely gave players more spending power, enabling some speculative reinvestment in collectibles like this scroll. --- ### **Price Prediction for the Next Few Months** Based on the outlined data and upcoming events: - **Short-Term (3-6 months)**: - Expect moderate price fluctuations between **200M-300M GP** driven by: - Potential increases in disposable GP from seasonal Treasure Hunter promos. - A motivational dip in January after Christmas (less demand as players recoup GP spent during holiday promos). - If another cash-injection event or exploit occurs, the price might spike temporarily due to a gold surplus. However, significant price appreciation beyond 300M seems unlikely unless Jagex explicitly re-locks or rereleases the item (unlikely due to the aging cosmetic's exclusivity). - **Longer-Term (>6 months)**: - Prices could stabilize closer to **350M-400M GP** as cosmetic override collectors prioritize rarity-driven items. However, without continuous demand or new promotional activity (like combat system reworks), its climb could plateau. --- ### **Flipping Azure Hurricane Margins** Based on observed historical trends: - Margins vary **widely**, ranging from **5M-40M per trade** based on market instability. - Optimal flipping periods surround announcement hype for combat-related updates (e.g., August 2023’s Necromancy release or March 2024’s combat overhaul). Sniping cheap purchases during crashes (like the June 2024 dip at 99M) and capitalizing on market recovery is the most reliable strategy. - Aim for a 5-10% margin in low-stakes scenarios (~200M buy, resell for 210M) or hold through larger-scale GP inflations for maximum gains. --- ### **Complementary Investment Options** Investing in items with similar drivers (cosmetics reliant on prestige) can help diversify risk while maintaining exposure to the cosmetics/speculation market: 1. **Similar High-Rarity Treasure Hunter Cosmetics**: - Look into **Abyssal Scourge overrides**, **Infernal Puzzle Box recolors**, or **Necromancy-themed weapon overrides** from Treasure Hunter events. - These follow parallel trends of increasing scarcity post-event drop-off. 2. **Limited-Time Animations or Capes**: - Scrolls like **Shattered Worlds Trailblazer** or **Golden Reaper overrides** typically appreciate well because they combine combat prestige with player skill associations. 3. **Seasonal Limitations (Egg Pets, Festive Scrolls)**: - Holiday/event-based items (Black Santa Hat analogs or Gummy Pet Scrolls) appreciate cyclically due to periodic FOMO demand. Buy during event drops and sell in off-season rallies. --- ### **Seasonal Dynamics** - **Positive Seasons**: - Winter holidays (December-January): This is due to increased player activity and sentimentality purchases, which boost demand. - Event Hype (March-July promos): Updates and boss mechanics (e.g., Sanctum of Rebirth) renew interest in cosmetics tied to combat. - **Negative Seasons**: - Summer Lulls (June to early August): Casual players drop activity, spending dips. Exceptions occur if major updates hit during this lull (e.g., Necromancy launch). - September-October GP corrections: Early fall is often a cooldown period before the game ramps into holiday promos. --- ### **Conclusion** The **Azure Hurricane scroll** is emblematic of RuneScape's “pure cosmetic, high-prestige” market segment. While prices will remain volatile due to RuneScape's unpredictable economic landscape, it serves as a reliable medium-term investment targeting speculative and flipping gains. By monitoring similar items and season-specific trends, players can leverage these fluctuations for sustained profit.