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Divine Moon Guard And Lantern Override Token Street Price Graph

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Divine Moon Guard And Lantern Override Token RS3 Price

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Divine Moon Guard And Lantern Override Token

Current Street Price

RS3 Divine Moon Guard And Lantern Override Token Street Price History

Divine Moon Guard And Lantern Override Token Trade Volume

### Summary of the Divine Moon Guard and Lantern Override Token The **Divine Moon Guard and Lantern Override Token** is a cosmetic override introduced to RuneScape 3. It allows players to unlock an ethereal and elegant weapon override for dual-wield shields or lanterns reflecting a "lunar" theme. This item was likely released via **Treasure Hunter** or limited promotional events, making it time-locked in availability and adding a degree of exclusivity. Its stunning celestial design appeals to collectors and fashion-conscious players, which directly ties to its desirability and market volatility. Based on your price trend data, it remains a mid-tier high-value cosmetic, particularly sought after during times of reduced token availability. The token appears to have been circulating as early as mid-2024, suggesting it came from a recent promotional release (likely 2024 summer events or a thematic Treasure Hunter promo like "Celestial Celebration"). ### Rarity and Historical Context The relatively high price floor (~15M) and spikes above 20M suggest it is not extremely common but not unique either. Promotional Treasure Hunter items often occupy this range initially if they are moderately rare. The absence of any clear re-release within this timeframe indicates no direct flooding of the market, which is a significant contributor to its sustained value. However, historical trends suggest cosmetics of this kind are vulnerable to price corrections if re-released (e.g., during winter holidays or spring promos when Jagex tends to rotate overrides). Rarity aside, the RuneScape economy's constant flux, influenced by dupes and re-releases, weighs heavily on its pricing, explaining its volatility across October-November 2024. --- ### Price Prediction Over the Next Few Months #### Historical Volatility Analysis The token’s value spiked around late September 2024, surpassing 22M before falling to ~16M in November. Its October price fluctuations are indicative of short-term speculative trading: - **Rising demand** likely correlates with post-Summer promo activities, when new items see strong interest and investments. - The **subsequent drop to 16M** in November is likely driven by the GIM (Group Ironman) bug. Dupes introduce excess gold into the economy, causing inflation and broad corrections across mid-value items like tradeable tokens. Investors likely liquidated these items for liquidity during the market's instability. #### Future Trends and Price Prediction 1. **Winter & Holiday Period (Dec 2024-Feb 2025):** RuneScape tends to see a surge in trading activity during holidays due to Treasure Hunter events and other seasonal promotions. If the Moon Guard and Lantern Token is not re-released, its price should slowly recover toward **20M+** as availability tightens. 2. **Potential Re-release Risk (Winter 2024):** Jagex has a habit of releasing lunar- or celestial-themed items during New Year or Valentine’s events. A re-release would tank prices significantly, down to **5-8M**. However, if it remains untouched, its scarcity-driven value will likely hold. 3. **Spring 2025:** Prices may receive upward momentum due to speculative hoarding and reduced market activity for cosmetics post-spring events. **Prediction Summary:** - **December 2024**: ~18-20M (holiday recovery). - **February 2025**: ~20-23M (if no re-release). Significant drops if re-released. - **Long term (mid-2025)**: Steady rise to ~25M+ as its rarity increases. --- ### Typical Flipping Margins - **Daily Volatility:** During active trading periods (e.g., October 2024), margins ranged between 5-10% as observed in its short-term fluctuations (~15-22M range). Flipping at targeted price points could yield ~800k-1.5M per trade. - **Best Buy Price:** ~16M (recent low during market dip). - **Best Sell Price:** ~20-22M (recent peaks suggest a ceiling unless scarcity grows). Consistent flipping in the high 15M-low 20M range could generate moderate profit with limited exposure to risk barring a critical re-release. --- ### Similar Items to Invest In To diversify, consider other mid-tier Treasure Hunter tradeables with limited promotional windows: 1. **Light Animica Lantern Token** (similar aesthetic and price bracket, though less sought after). 2. **Celestial Lantern Token** (linked to celestial/lunar themes; prices typically rise seasonally). 3. **Starlight Blade Override Token** (comparably fluctuates in the mid 15-20M range; excellent scarcity speculation). 4. **Nature's Sentinel Outfit Pieces** (cosmetics released during skilling-themed events often rise sharply in quieter months). --- ### Seasonal Pricing Trends in Cosmetics - **Positive Seasons:** December-January, April-May, August. These periods often see reduced supply due to player focus on new content (e.g., combat updates or holiday-themed Treasure Hunter promos). - **Negative Seasons:** September-October tends to exhibit high volatility due to item re-releases and increased speculative dumping ahead of holidays. November-February can be negative if dupes or market disruptions occur. For the Divine Moon Guard and Lantern Token, expect the strongest price floor in April-May 2025, assuming no re-releases occur.
Ely Intelligence Analysis