### Summary of the Forsaken Graahk Pet Token The **Forsaken Graahk Pet Token** is a rare consumable item in RuneScape 3 that unlocks the Forsaken Graahk as a player cosmetic pet. Associated with primal/themed events, it likely debuted during the 2021 Wilderness Reborn-focused updates with thematic ties to the wild areas. It offers no gameplay advantages, making its value entirely cosmetic and collector-driven. The pet's ominous and feral appearance makes it highly desirable to fashion-scape enthusiasts and rarity investors. #### Release Date: While precise release details are unclear, its earliest recorded trading prices date to January 2021. #### Notable Rarity: Initially highly scarce, the token saw its price surge rapidly, particularly in early 2021, becoming one of the premium tokens in circulation. Subsequent price stabilization phases suggest increased supply, most likely due to Treasure Hunter promos, trading patterns, or dupes. --- ### Historical Price Trends and Analysis #### Trends: Over its observed history, the Forsaken Graahk Pet Token has experienced: 1. **Initial Hype (January 2021 - February 2021)**: Prices peaked at ~14M coins during its release window, driven by intense demand among collectors and hoarders. This was disrupted by the notorious January 2021 **rollback dupe**, causing inflation and flooding the game with additional GP. 2. **Distress Drop (Mid-2021)**: Prices steadily declined throughout 2021, with milestones such as 5M coins by mid-year attributed to Treasure Hunter re-releases or oversaturation of rare-token markets. 3. **Bottoming Out (2022)**: The removal of the Duel Arena (Jan 2022) caused a GP liquidity shock, pushing prices below 1.5M. The Fresh Start Worlds (Sep 2022) resurgence did not favor old rare tokens. 4. **Collapse (2024)**: With prices crashing to 1,557 coins as of February 2024, likely due to neglect or irrelevance relative to newer, high-GP-sink collectibles like the Black Partyhat or significant exploitation inflating GP supply. #### Key Price Influencers: - **Dupes (January 2021 & Jan 2023)**: Introduced trillions into the economy, leading to inflated item values in the short term but market oversaturation and reduced gold purchasing power overall. - **Treasure Hunter Promotions**: Tokens like this historically experience price drops during re-releases in Treasure Hunter events. - **Game Updates and Necromancy (Aug 2023)**: The introduction of large-scale content (like Necromancy or Combat reworks) can shift focus away from lesser-appreciated cosmetic items like this. - **Investor Sellouts**: The steady decline suggests longtime investors have offloaded token stockpiles, possibly to fund higher-demand rares or new investments. --- ### Price Prediction (Next Few Months) Based on historical trading patterns and external events: - **Baseline Projection (March to September 2024)**: The token will likely stabilize closer to **1,000–2,000 coins**, considering its diminished status amidst RuneScape's shifting focus toward high-end, scalable collectibles and GP sinks. - **Optimistic Projected Spike**: A thematic Treasure Hunter re-release (Wilderness revamps, pet-centric promos) or Jagex's increased focus on old rares could temporarily lift demand, raising prices to **100k–300k coins.** - **Downside Risks**: Further economy-breaking dupes, continued low demand, or new more exclusive pet content may push prices near rock-bottom (Coins drop zone: **500–1,000**). --- ### Flipping Margins At present-day prices (~1,557 coins), flipping margins are extremely tight due to low turnover: - **Expected Margins**: ~100–200 coins per trade at best, owing to the poor desirability of this item. This token has little opportunity for consistent flips unless a sudden surge in demand occurs (e.g., mechanical updates to pet interfaces or rarity boosts). - **Past Margins**: Historically, large-buying waves in 2021 allowed margins between **1M–2M coins**, with flips occurring during high-demand intervals. --- ### Related Items for Investment or Flipping 1. **Similar Tokens to Buy**: - **Ravenous Ghoul Pet Token**: Also wilderness-themed, with lower supply and moderate demand, it may see speculative price rebounds in future updates. - **Werewolf Tokens**: These tend to align with specific seasonal Halloween sales. - **Treasure Hunter-Exclusive Pets**: Items like the Blaze Hound pet token maintain strong flipping potential due to scarcity. 2. **Seasonal Investment Strategies**: - **Positive Price Cycles (July–October)**: Wilderness-based updates and event-driven promotions often coincide with price gains. - **Negative Price Cycles (January–March)**: Post-Christmas market saturation and GP influx events heavily devalue underperforming, collectible tokens. --- ### Concluding Advice The Forsaken Graahk Pet Token has fallen starkly out of favor, driven by economic inflation, low player engagement, and newer superior cosmetic alternatives. If you’re an investor looking for flips, this token isn’t ideal in its current state. Future speculative moves should focus on similar ultra-low-cost tokens that could benefit from surprise re-releases. Diversifying across medium-tier pet tokens and cosmetics, especially when tied to exclusive Treasure Hunter updates, offers better longer-term upside.