**Item Analysis: Masterwork Magic Robe Bottom (RuneScape 3)** --- ### **Item Summary** - **Name**: Masterwork Magic Robe Bottom - **Release Date**: **August 12, 2024** *(with the Smithing and Mining rework)* - **Tier**: **T90 Magic Legs** - **Style**: Magic - **Origin**: Created via **high-level Smithing**, involving rare materials such as Dark Animica, Luminous Energy, and Magic-focused alloys introduced with the rework. - **Usage**: Best-in-slot power armor legs for magic combat that is **augmentable**, **degradable**, and **Invention-compatible**. This item serves as the magic counterpart to the original Malevolent (melee) and Sirenic (ranged) sets, completing a long-missing gap in tiered magic power armor options. Unlike Virtus legs, the Masterwork Magic Robe Bottom is tradeable and can be crafted, providing broader economy interaction. --- ### **Rarity and Supply Dynamics** - **Initial Rarity**: High. Materials tied to the new mining outputs and refined magic alloys created a production bottleneck. - **Production Constraints**: High XP requirement, time-gated via refined bars and rare drops from *Sanctum of Rebirth* and post-rework skilling nodes. - **Trade Frequency**: Low compared to Sirenic and Malevolent due to crafting delays and slower adoption by magic users, historically fewer than ranged/melee. --- ### **Price Prediction (Sept–Dec 2024)** **As of August 15th, prices likely peaked due to launch hype. Historically, armor follows a predictable cycle:** - **Launch (Aug 12)**: Prices spike due to minimal supply — typically 350-450M. - **Stabilization (mid–late Sept)**: Early crafters enter the market — expected dip to ~300M. - **Bottleneck fatigue (Oct)**: If high-level skilling burns out or material prices make crafting unviable, price may rebound to ~330–360M. - **Fourth Quarter Surge (Nov–Dec)**: High-income players return for winter events. Expect prices to stabilize or slightly rise if no new magic gear is introduced. **Predicted Price Range (by December 2024)**: **315M–365M** --- ### **Historical Event Correlations** - **Mining & Smithing Rework (Aug 12, 2024)**: Catalyzed the item's release. Surge in mining bots and power-skilling temporarily boosts supply materials. - **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 22, 2024)**: Contributed rare drop material inputs, increasing demand for the end product. - **Max Cash Exploit (May 2024)**: Flooded GP into the economy. Inflationary aftershock helped launch prices balloon. Previous similar releases (e.g., Masterwork Plate) saw heavy deflation within **60–90 days** post-launch. The same is likely here unless reinforced by new endgame PvM content targeting mages. --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** - **Launch Window (first 2 weeks)**: High volatility. **Margins of 20–30M+** possible per unit flipped via GE manipulation or player-to-player trades. - **Stabilized Market**: Margins shrink to **5–10M** but with lower risk. Best flipped in tandem with weaponry like **Noxious Staff** or **Elder Wand** sets. Tip: Flip across **daily reset windows** (~00:00–06:00 UTC) when skilling surges and PvM players prep for dungeons. --- ### **Recommended Companion Investments** 1. **Noxious Staff** (T90 Magic) – Pairs well, increases demand for matching gear sets. 2. **Greater Concentrated Blast Codex** – As ability upgrades rise in usage, BIS magic armor demand follows. 3. **Dark Animica/Phasmatite Ore** – Raw resources critical to crafting the robe, spikes during scarcity. 4. **Refined Magic Alloy Bars** – Mid-tier flipping resource; constrained trade limits make them ideal for trickle flipping. --- ### **Seasonal Market Patterns** - **September–October** ➜ *Neutral to Soft Bearish* – Post-launch fatigue; some PvM burnout before holiday events. Prices may decline 5–10%. - **November–December** ➜ *Moderate Bullish* – Re-engagement from winter break + Treasure Hunter promos = new players gearing, driving demand as gear goals scale. - **Treasure Hunter Inflations**: Be wary of November TH events that flood materials—this directly lowers crafted gear value. --- ### **Deep Insights & Non-Obvious Trends** - **Robe Leg Disparity**: Historically, magic has lacked a craftable BIS power leg. This item's uniqueness supports a long shelf-life in price relevance. - **Non-Lucky Rare Drops**: Reports suggest crafting requirements benefit from Necromancy siphons or Sanctum enhancements—tying its price fate to PvM participation more than raw material scaling. - **FashionScape Effect**: As seen with Malevolent armor dyes, recolorability may eventually add long-tail luxury value. With high skilling entry, balanced PvM desirability, and seasonal holiday uptick, the **Masterwork Magic Robe Bottom** is poised for **moderate bullish growth by Q4 2024**, assuming no direct TH promo injection. Ideal for medium-term flipping and passive gains via resource investment.