### **Infernal Cerberus Faulds Token Overview** The Infernal Cerberus Faulds token is a cosmetic item released as part of Treasure Hunter promotions. This particular piece grants the ability to unlock an Infernal Cerberus-inspired cosmetic override for the faulds (leg) slot. While its exact release date is obscure, it falls into the category of collectible Treasure Hunter cosmetics, often introduced during themed promotions tied to specific updates or events. Given the price history and its trading patterns, the token is moderately rare, fluctuating between niche collectibility and active interest depending on market conditions. Its price movements suggest a correlation with key RuneScape updates and economic disruptions. --- ### **Release and Rarity** - **Release Date:** Likely debuted around advanced Treasure Hunter events in early 2021. - **Rarity:** Moderate. While not as scarce as discontinued items like party hats, its availability is tied to Treasure Hunter events, making it pseudo-limited in nature. Many cosmetics tied to these events become increasingly rare over time due to natural attrition (consumed by players or held for collections). --- ### **Market Trends and Historical Analysis** #### **Price Observations** - Initial prices during its early months (April-May 2021) range between **190,000 and 850,000 GP** as the item was introduced and consumed by players. - A significant **spike occurred in November 2021**, with prices jumping to **~1.5M GP**. This aligns with the build-up to updates and increased interest in collectibles. - **Dips** occurred in January 2022, shortly after the **Duel Arena removal**, falling as low as **174,999 GP** from the oversaturation of GP and items caused by the rollback and recovery dupes earlier that year. #### **Notable Influences** These price movements are closely tied to economic events: 1. **Rollback Dupe (January 2021):** Introduced an influx of gold and items, spiking initial demand for tokens like the faulds due to inflation. 2. **Recovery Dupe (July 2021):** Further destabilizes prices. Cosmetic tokens like this temporarily lose value from flooding. 3. **Croesus Release (September 2021):** Interest in fashion-related items surged as players showcased outfits alongside skilling. 4. **Duel Arena Removal (January 2022):** Encountered a sharp dip—the token fell out of favor as removed gold drastically reduced purchasing power. 5. **Fresh Start Worlds Release (September 2022):** Introduced a temporary upward trend as players sought the token for collections in anticipation of a potential economy boom. 6. **Necromancy Combat Overhaul (August 2023):** Renewed interest briefly increased the buying power for rare cosmetics, though this was short-lived due to Hero Pass backlash. #### **Current and Predicted Trends** Historical trends suggest the faulds token’s price thrives in periods of economic stability, collectible hype, or dupe-induced inflationary spikes. However, with Jagex making increasing efforts at deflation (e.g., reduced GP influx in treasure hunter/cash sinks), these periods are becoming rarer. --- ### **Price Prediction: Q4 2024 - Q1 2025** Using past data and market trends: - **Late 2024:** **700K – 1M GP.** The Sanctum of Rebirth release and Mining & Smithing rework will likely attract player interest back into the economy. However, the surging viability of Necromancy or newer overrides diminishes demand. - **Q1 2025 onward:** **900K – 1.2M GP.** Post-Easter events (April holidays) regularly increase interest in collectibles and cosmetics. This assumes no major dupes or massive GP dumps occur; otherwise, prices could jump arbitrarily higher from severe inflation. --- ### **Flipping Margins** Cosmetic tokens like the Infernal Cerberus Faulds token are ideal for flipping due to their non-essential utility yet steady long-term demand. Typical margins: - **Low Activity Periods:** Buy at **700K**, sell at **900K+** (~200K margin). - **Event Spikes (e.g., Treasure Hunter Booster Events):** Buy during **item saturation dips (~400–500K)**, flip several weeks post-promotion on resurgent demand at **1M GP+**. Tokens are heavily speculative but provide consistent medium-term returns if timed well with Treasure Hunter promos and market behavior. --- ### **Complementary Items** To diversify cosmetic-focused investments, consider items with similar historical patterns or tied to Treasure Hunter: 1. **Infernal Cerberus Set Token Pieces (e.g., Helm, Gloves):** These bolster set-collector demand, often synergizing in price increases. 2. **Anachronia-Themed Tokens (from similar Treasure Hunter periods):** Items tied to rare hunter or dinosaur themes have steady demand. 3. **Treasure Hunter Exclusives with Limited Re-releases:** Check items like **Shadow Gem Tokens** or **Sakura-themed overrides.** --- ### **Seasonal Impact** - **Positive Price Trends:** **April – June:** Spring events and summer promotions attract higher cosmetic buying trends as players engage in game-wide fashion contests or T95+ gear quiets combat hype. - **Negative Price Trends:** **Jan – Feb:** Post-holiday GP levels drop alongside decreased general player purchasing power (new skill/gear draws attention away). --- ### **Final Thoughts** The Infernal Cerberus Faulds token is a strong mid-tier speculation piece. Its price hinges on RuneScape’s overall economy, Treasure Hunter promotions, and player engagement cycles. Continually evaluate broader economic trends (e.g., dupes, cash infusions) to adjust market timing, while pairing it with similar cosmetics to maximize flipping profits.