### Manuscript of Jas Overview:
The **Manuscript of Jas** is an item tied to lore and utility, introduced with the release of the **Elder God Wars Dungeon** on **July 26, 2021**. It is primarily obtained as a reward from various Elder God Wars bosses and is sought after for its use in crafting *The Codex of Research*, as well as for its passive effects when charged and equipped, providing Prayer restoration while doing Necromancy combats. Initially released with a steady utility demand, its value has fluctuated heavily over the years, often tied to its drop accessibility and the impact of game updates (especially new content tied to Elder God lore burnables).
#### Rarity:
Its rarity varies depending on how actively players farmed Elder God Wars bosses in a given period. Manuscripts are considered mid-tier loot, not as rare as *abilities* or pet drops but not as common as basic materials, making it relatively accessible but prone to heavy supply saturation.
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### Price Prediction:
#### Historical Data Insights:
Analyzing the price trajectory alongside historical updates shows significant shifts:
1. Release Day: Stabilized around **250k–375k** due to significant new content demand.
2. **September 27, 2021** (*Croesus Release*): Spikes (~200k) due to new ecosystem usage boosting demand.
3. Long-term Fall: Over the long term, as Elder God Wars hype waned, overfarming led to a **crash to 30k–60k by Q4 2022**.
4. **December 2023** (*Black Partyhat Hype*): Wealth movement revived prices indirectly (~248k).
5. **August 2023 Necromancy Release**: Introduced niche uses like sustained power prayers and synergy with **Necromancy combat**; spikes ranged from **248k to 1M+ by January 2024.**
6. **May 15, 2024 (*Max Cash Exploit*):** Gold injection caused speculative spikes up to **1.5M**, but the bubble burst after **July 2024’s Sanctum of Rebirth**, settling at **400k by mid-summer**.
#### Prediction Model:
- **Q4 2024**: Likely to stabilize around **~300k–500k** due to standard treasure hunter wealth pumping (*Nov. GIM Dupes* increases).
- **Q1 2025 (Feb-March)**: Anticipated release of new Elder God-related lore (possible Quest Expansion); could see spikes to **700k-900k** as Corpus scripts surge again during items.
#### Key Factors Behind Prices:
1. **Inflationary Updates**: Incidents like the Max Cash exploit or Jagex's GP injections tend to create speculative spikes and corrections.
2. **Accessibility of Drop Scaling Rates:** Adjustments to boss drop tables can decrease values. Sanctum recent necromancy system repeating such nerf Cruder bots aff backwards-priced.
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<h2 Fliral
Ely Intelligence Analysis