### Summary of the Greater Ricochet Ability Codex The **Greater Ricochet Ability Codex** was released on **July 26, 2021**, as a rare, drop-locked item obtainable from the **Glacor Front** of the Elder God Wars Dungeon. It introduces a highly sought-after **upgraded Ricochet ability for ranged combat**, enabling the main target hit by Ricochet to take **100% additional damage**, massively increasing single-target DPS potential. Because of the powerful impact on ranged combat efficiency, it remains integral to both PvM and Slayer metas. Its value is tied to demand among high-level players and broader economic factors. The codex maintains a notable **rarity**, as it requires significant investment of time or resources to acquire organically. Changes to game mechanics or the influx of new gold/items often exacerbate its price volatility. --- ### Price Analysis & Historical Context From the provided price data, key insights emerge about factors influencing historical trends: #### **Highs and Lows** - **Peaks**: The codex spiked to **1.9B GP (Oct 2021)** shortly after release, during initial market hype. It maintained high prices throughout its early life (~1.5B average through early 2022), as a result of: - **New content release demand** (i.e., Croesus launch, Sep 2021). - **Market inflation from dupes and gold injections**, such as the Nov 2021 rollback and Jan 2022 Duel Arena gold flooding. - **Lows**: Prices **bottomed out at 555M GP by early April 2024**, coinciding with: - **Multiple dupes and exploits** (e.g., April's Easter Reward dupe and May's Max Cash exploit). - Jagex's decision to inject 1B GP into Treasure Hunter (April 2024), devaluing currency across the market. #### **Recent Recovery** Prices rebounded from **555M (April 2024)** to **1.2B (Dec 2024)**, driven by: 1. **Sanctum of Rebirth release hype** (July 2024), which reinforced demand for efficient ranged DPS builds. 2. The market recovering from extreme gold inflation as the economy stabilized post-May 2024. The codex remains highly elastic to content updates—new bosses with ranged focus (e.g., Sanctum’s miniboss mechanics) significantly drive demand spikes. --- ### Price Prediction (2025 Outlook) Barring any immediate content releases or large-scale economic disruptions, expect **modest growth into 2025** due to ongoing demand for meta DPS abilities. Historical patterns and upcoming game updates suggest the following trends: 1. **Base Growth Mid-2025 (1.3–1.5B GP)**: - New PvM encounters tend to bolster demand for DPS improvements like Greater Ricochet. Speculated PvM updates (potential combat mechanics reworks or secret bosses teased for Q2 2025) could trigger interest. 2. **Short-Term Weakness (Q1 2025)**: - Post-Christmas GP injections through Treasure Hunter jackpots and returning seasonal players often devalue high-price items. Expect minor price corrections in early 2025 (<1B GP short term). 3. **Market Corrections from Player Base Trends**: - **Bond price increases** (Summer 2024) signal weakened buyer purchasing power over real cash investments—a trend likely to continue, delaying any major highs above its 2021–2023 averages. #### Prediction Range (Next 6 Months): - **Short-term low**: ~850M–1B GP (Feb–March post-holiday GP floods). - **Mid-range recovery**: 1.3B GP (early Summer with new gameplay updates). - **Aggressive catalyst spikes** (new bosses): 1.5B+. --- ### Flipping Margins The codex has fostered lucrative flipping opportunities due to: - Wide swings caused by **PvM seasonal trends** and **gold injection cycles**. - Rarity keeping the **buy-sell spread high**, especially when demand spikes after updates. #### Current Flip Range (Assumed Recovery Period): - Margins: **100M–200M GP per trade**, depending on time of purchase. - Optimal timing: **Late-night off-peak hours (higher potential for underpriced buys)**; **update teasers (quick cash-driven demand surges)**. Short-term flipping favors speculative positions ahead of major events, while medium-term holders can profit from PvM expansion-driven reliability. --- ### Related Investments To diversify flipping or holding strategies, these are complementary items to consider: 1. **Greater Chain Ability Codex**: - Similar to Greater Ricochet but for magic. Its performance closely mirrors Ricochet’s, with spikes whenever meta bosses with shielded targets appear. Prices generally track together over time. - Current price: 700M–1.2B GP; often mirrors post-update inflation trends. 2. **Fractured Armadyl Staff (FSoA)**: - High-end PvM weapon heavily linked to Greater Ricochet users for meta trio setups. Its prices reflect broader high-end gear economy trends. - Ideal for matching Greater Ricochet market moves, as they typically trend together during boss expansions. 3. **Ancient Summoning Pouches**: - Resources like **Ripper Demon scrolls** rise on ricochet meta stability and coordinated boss metas demanding DPS optimization tools. --- ### Seasonal Price Trends Certain patterns help determine the best times to buy or sell based on RuneScape’s update cycles: 1. **Positive Outcomes**: - Summer (June–July): PvM updates (historically bosses or combat reworks—e.g., Necromancy, Sanctum of Rebirth) often boost high-tier ability codices. - Autumn (Sept–Oct): Hype around **RuneFest/anniversary events** typically inflates high-demand items. 2. **Negative Outcomes**: - Post-Christmas (Jan–Feb): GP flooding drives demand down for expensive PvM gear. - Post-Easter (Apr–May): Treasure Hunter and dupes have historically destabilized items. Capitalizing on price corrections to accumulate multiple copies of Greater Ricochet during these unfavorable times provides the best return on mid-term flipping.