### **Deathtouch Bracelet: Summary & Analysis** **Release Date** The Deathtouch Bracelet debuted with the Ascension Dungeon content update on **November 25, 2013**. It is crafted by assembling two Drops of Focus, which are rare components obtained from the Ascension Dungeon's bosses. While initially aimed at ranged-focused builds, its versatility in PvP and PvM environments has made it a sought-after luxury item. **Uses** Its primary effect, reflecting **25% of damage taken back to the attacker**, is exceptionally useful in defensive situations or niche PvM encounters where enemies deal rapid small hits. Additionally, the **native +21 Life Bonus** and the bracelet's durability contribute to its utility in both solo and group boss fights. **Rarity** Given its status as a crafted item relying on rare Ascension Dungeon materials, the bracelet is classified as semi-rare. Its value ebbs and flows with Ascension Dungeon activity and broader gameplay meta. However, it's not inherently ultra-rare since diligent farming can produce multiple bracelets over time. --- ### **Price Trends: History and Causes** Using your dataset, we’ll trace major price fluctuations and link them to in-game updates or macroeconomic events: 1. **2023 Era (~50-80M fluctuations)**: - This phase marks relative market stability. Some spikes in **August 2023 (~80M)** can be tied to the **Necromancy release (08/07/2023)** and increased demand for hybrid PvM gear. - **Late September 2023 (~50-60M dip)** coincides with **Hero Pass backlash**, causing players to decrease activity. This indirectly reduced bracelet prices as item demand temporarily receded. 2. **Early 2024 (~57-65M plateau and anomalous spike)**: - Prices stabilized in **Q1**, attributed to the lack of updates directly affecting PvM meta or Ascension Dungeon materials. The spike to over **400M in August 2024** is likely erroneous or caused by market manipulation, given such drastic deviation in a traditionally mid-range luxury item. - Demand surged in **March 2024 (57M up to 62M)** due to a **combat update (03/04/2024)** reintroducing interest in reflective equipment useful for tank builds. Additionally, duping events in **April 2024** could have heavily distorted GP distribution, leading to unpredictable trading behavior. 3. **Q4 2024 Trends (~60M recovery)**: - Post-August volatility returned to mid-tier averaging ~60M and climbed to **~69M by November 2024**. This rebound aligns with a general **GP sink stabilization** after the **Sanctum of Rebirth release (07/22/2024)** and enhanced mid-level item demand sparked by the **Mining & Smithing rework (08/12/2024)**. 4. **Future Predictions**: - With no immediate updates in the PvM meta or Ascension Dungeon’s loot tables foreseen in 2025, the Deathtouch Bracelet’s price should stabilize between **60-75M**. However, external crises such as dupes or GP injections may cause dips or inflated spikes. - Minor speculative growth may result if a new boss or dungeon perceptibly increases demand for reflect mechanics. --- ### **Flipping Margins** The bracelet serves as an excellent choice for mid-level merchanting due to its relative volume and predictable supply/demand cycles. Typical flipping margins average **2-5M** for a 55-70M purchase range. These margins expand following Treasure Hunter cash influxes or during patch weeks with increased PvM engagement. - **Optimal Buying Price**: 55-60M (when updates do not impact demand or supply spikes due to Ascension Dungeon farming surges). - **Optimal Selling Price**: 65-75M (during PvM competitions or Treasure Hunter GP events encouraging spending). --- ### **Complementary Items for Investment** If interested in leveraging similar markets, here are items with **complementary behavior** to Deathtouch Bracelet’s pricing patterns: 1. **Dark Ice Shards & Dragor Maces**: - Post-combat updates boost demand for PvM tank-utility items. Both items retain medium flipping margins (~5-10% per sale in the 40-100M price band). 2. **Blood-Dyed Equipment**: - Prices for dyed weapons and armor correlate heavily with fluctuations in player wealth post-dupes. These high-value items could synergize with Deathtouch speculation. 3. **Ascension Crossbow Components**: - Since Focus Drops are crucial for crafting the Deathtouch Bracelet, these materials fluctuate in sync. Buying surplus crafting components during periodic lulls often yields ROI. --- ### **Market Behavior: Seasonal Insights** 1. **Positive Price Cycles (Growth)**: - **Post-Major Boss Releases**: PvM meta shifts boost demand for niche tank or hybrid items. - **Treasure Hunter GP Dumps**: Any event increasing disposable GP among players (e.g., **Black Partyhat events**) can inflate Deathtouch prices since discretionary spending rises. - **Early-Game Updates**: Fresh Start Worlds-style events increase item demand for progression. 2. **Negative Price Cycles (Decline)**: - **Dupes or Exploits**: Major GP influx harms mid-level gear by distorting gold value (e.g., **1B GP TH reward – April 2024**). - **PvP-Centric Updates**: If PvP relevance continues to decline, reflective damage gear like Deathtouch will underperform price-wise. --- Final Insight: **The Deathtouch Bracelet remains a staple mid-value investment tool. Its price stabilizes when the market is healthy and flourishes during GP surplus events or PvM rebalance patches. Strategic flips during activity surges or crafting material manipulation offer the steadiest returns.**