### **Summary of the Bubble Blower Token** The Bubble Blower Token is a cosmetic unlock for the Bubble Blower emote in RuneScape 3. It was initially released during **late 2020 or early 2021** as a promotional item on Treasure Hunter. The token remains tradeable but is no longer actively obtainable through the game mechanics, which categorically places it as a “discontinued promotional cosmetic.” ### **Rarity and Historical Significance** Its rarity depends on its status as a limited availability item and market behavior, primarily influenced by Treasure Hunter promos. Items like this tend to gain value over time as their supply stagnates once removed from rotation. The Bubble Blower Token intrigued players due to its playful and visually appealing emote, but it's still perceived as less prestigious than high-tier rares like party hats or even niche items like die tokens. ### **Historical Pricing Trends and Major Influencing Events** 1. **Initial Peak (January 2021)**: Prices ranged between **3M-7M GP**, driven by introductory hype and limited supply. - **Key influence**: January 2021 dupe exploit injected trillions of GP into the economy, artificially inflating prices for tradeable cosmetics, especially “discontinued” treasury items. 2. **Correction Phase (2021 Mid-Year)**: Prices dropped to stabilize at around **2M-4M GP**. - **Key event**: Increased promotional Treasure Hunter item releases in mid-2021 drew attention away from previous rarities like the Bubble Blower, and the Croesus boss update shifted player focus to lucrative PvM. 3. **Decline and Recovery (Late 2021 - 2022)**: - A dip to **1M-2M GP** occurred following the removal of the Duel Arena (2022), which tightened gold sinks but tanked demand for non-essential vanity items. Fresh Start Worlds later sustained prices around **900k-1.5M GP**, especially as wealthier players refrained from liquidating their collections. 4. **Recent Recovery (2023–2024)**: A gradual price jump was observed in **2023-2024**, with notable spikes reaching **1.7M GP** in February 2024. - Noteworthy events (e.g., mass player hacks, Hero Pass backlash) possibly renewed interest in low-tier discontinued items. Additionally, dupe exploits and Treasure Hunter inflation events artificially recalibrated the GP economy, allowing long-term holders to maintain Bubble Blower Tokens as speculative assets. ### **Price Prediction (Next 3-6 Months)** Given the data and economy trends, the Bubble Blower Token shows a slow appreciation trajectory for 2024. However, the following events are potential game changers: - **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** may elevate high-value tradables due to wealth influx from PvM players. - **Max Cash exploit (May 2024)** already inflated GP-rich trading occurring in rares; players may pivot toward mid-tier collectibles like Bubble Blower in lieu of excessive high-end items. By **August 2024**, prices are projected to stabilize between **2.1M-3M GP**, with spurts above **3M GP** during July's PvM hype. **Caveat**: If Jagex reintroduces (or duplicates) discontinued Treasure Hunter rewards for events like the Black Partyhat's release in late 2023, it could result in short-term devaluation (~1.2M GP). ### **Flipping Margins** Typical flipping margins for the Bubble Blower Token fluctuate based on supply volatility. Based on price trends: - **Buy price**: ~1.7M GP - **Sell price**: ~2M GP - **Typical margin**: ~300k GP per flip at current levels. During busier promotional periods or economic disruptions, margins can widen to **500k-800k GP**, especially around heightened demand phases (July/August PvM updates). ### **Advice on Similar Items to Buy** To diversify your portfolio and mitigate risk, consider investing in these similarly tiered discontinued cosmetic tokens: 1. **Halloween Umbrella Token** – Seasonal appeal gives it periodic demand spikes. 2. **Death Lotus/Dragon Keepsake Keys** – Functionally useful vanity items highly coveted by richer players. 3. **Loyalty Rewards Reqs (e.g., Ice Dye/Black Dye)** – Steady demand and significantly lower reintroduction risk. ### **Seasonal Impacts on Token Prices** #### **Positive Outcomes for Prices**: - **Summer PvM Updates (July-August)**: High-value token consumables spike in GP-heavy summer updates like Sanctum of Rebirth. - **Holiday Cosmetic Seasons** (October-December): Vanity collectors resurface to purchase/promote sentimental trades. #### **Negative Outcomes for Prices**: - **March-April Post-Q1 Content Push**: Historically weak for mid-tier collectibles due to major content reworks stealing attention. - **Treasure Hunter Re-releases (e.g., April 2024): Direct competition from promos diminishes speculative value. Properly time flips pre-July 2024 or post-August PvM hype to align with surging interest and GP influx from boss-driven demand.