### **Ingenuity of the Humans Ability Codex Summary** The Ingenuity of the Humans (IoH) Ability Codex is a high-tier consumable introduced in *RuneScape 3* on **21 September 2020**. This codex allows the user to unlock the **Ingenuity of the Humans ability**, which makes the next ability used always hit its target, ignoring accuracy checks. This is pivotal for precise high-damage rotations in PvM encounters, such as Telos, Elite Dungeon bosses, or Raksha, where the codex both maximizes DPS and ensures consistency in critical moments. It is obtained through **Boss Hunter Marks**, which are earned during Yak Track events or as a reward from Treasure Hunter. Its availability is volatile and event-dependent, making the codex rare outside specific promotional windows. Its sourcing restrictions, high demand among endgame PvM players, and lack of a sustainable input method contribute to its scarcity and fluctuating market behavior. --- ### **Rarity Overview** The rarity of IoH is dictated by its reliance on Yak Track cycles and Treasure Hunter rewards. Since Yak Track and Treasure Hunter promotions are rotational and often not adjacent, it creates supply droughts leading to price climbs during non-event periods. Additionally, it has no corresponding boss drop source, separating it from other codices and ensuring scarcity in a way items like the **Greater Ability Codices (from Arch-Glacor)** cannot replicate. --- ### **Price Prediction and Analysis** Using the provided price data and considering historical patterns, it appears IoH codex exhibits steep **price spikes** post-content updates that increase demand for high-accuracy PvM setups, while **dips** occur following supply influx from Treasure Hunter or Yak Track promotions. Below are several phases correlated with key RuneScape updates: 1. **March 2022 to September 2022**: Prices surged to **235M** due to demand spikes from combat-centric updates like **Croesus** and the removal of Duel Arena (a gold sink). 2. **January 2023 Scrimshaw Dupe**: Gold inflation spiked the codex, sustaining it around **180–200M** until June 2023. 3. **Necromancy Release (August 2023)**: High PvM interest inflated prices to **175M+**. 4. **Treasure Hunter GP Injection (April 2024)**: Supply influx brought downward momentum to **172M–180M**, amplified by massive gold injections from Jagex's GP addition and the Easter event exploit. #### **Prediction (Q3–Q4 2024)**: - **Short-term (3 months)**: Prices will likely stabilize around **170M–190M GP** as Treasure Hunter events taper off and PvM remains relevant without any major new updates. This creates a balanced supply-demand dynamic. - **Medium-term (6–9 months)**: If the **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** PvM update introduces mechanics demanding precision or heavy damage output, IoH may retest highs of **200M–225M GP range**. Upcoming Yak Track cycles also threaten to depress prices temporarily due to supply dumps. #### **Key Risks and Catalysts** - **Risks**: New combat styles or mechanics that devalue accuracy-based DPS. - **Catalysts**: PvM content with hard-to-hit mechanics or lucrative loot tables (e.g., *Elite Dungeons 4*). --- ### **Flipping Margins** IoH has historically demonstrated **strong margins** for short-term flipping around Treasure Hunter promotions and Yak Tracks: - During **price dips**, typical buy prices rest within **170M–175M**, with recovery potential to **180M–190M** within 2–3 weeks. - Small-time flippers can reliably achieve **5–10M GP margins**, while large-volume behavior (e.g., purchasing 10+ codices) could generate upwards of **50–100M GP flips** during content droughts. - Consider flipping during event entry and exit points: prices initially tank at the start of a promotion, but as the event closes, prices stabilize upwards. --- ### **Similar Items to Consider** Investors in IoH codices should also leverage its synergy with other high-utility PvM items or hard-to-obtain codices: 1. **Greater Ricochet Codex (Arch-Glacor)** - Essential for ranged rotations, exhibits price patterns parallel to IoH due to PvM reliance. 2. **Greater Concentrated Blast Codex (Arch-Glacor)** - Driving mage-DPS optimizations, follows IoH trends but often trails slightly lower in price swings. 3. **Fractured Armadyl Staff Pieces** - High-end PvM investments that experience PvM-specific surges tied to Necromancy outputs. --- ### **Optimal Seasons for Buying and Selling** 1. **Positive Trends (Selling)**: - **Post-Boss Updates**: Major new bosses (e.g., **Sanctum of Rebirth**) spike PvM activity, increasing demand for accuracy-essential tools like IoH. - **Necromancy Buffs**: Any future buffs to this combat style will drive PvMers to incorporate "must-hit" abilities for sustained optimization. 2. **Negative Trends (Buying)**: - **Yak Track Seasons**: When IoH is freely obtainable, prices collapse by **15–20%**, presenting buying opportunities. - **Treasure Hunter Gold Events**: Increased GP dilution via Treasure Hunter weakens buyer power, suppressing prices short-term. --- ### **Conclusion** The Ingenuity of the Humans Codex remains a robust and volatile investment tied intricately to PvM trends and supply-promotion cycles. For seasoned merchants, its flipping potential and rarity as a Yak Track staple make it highly lucrative with margins peaking during event transitions. Leveraging historical gold trends alongside complementary items like *Greater Ability Codices* makes this a core PvM-centric portfolio piece for 2024. Expect medium-term appreciation above **200M GP**, contingent on sustained PvM development and cautious gold management by Jagex.