### Analysis of Greater Flurry Ability Codex #### **Summary & Rarity** The **Greater Flurry Ability Codex** is an item unlocked by decoding pages obtained from bosses in the **Nodon Front** of the **Elder God Wars Dungeon**, specifically **Kerapac, the Bound**. It improves the standard Flurry ability by reducing its cooldown and extending its channeled duration, making it exceptionally valuable for melee users, particularly in **AoE situations** or **damage-over-time (DOT) builds**. Released alongside the Elder God Wars Dungeon update in **July 2021**, it struck a balance between being a mid-tier PvM upgrade and an effective flipping item. Though not as rare as some Codices (e.g., Greater Ricochet or Grico), Greater Flurry maintains steady demand due to its synergistic usefulness in high-level combat verses its cost. It's considered slightly more accessible but remains limited by its drop sources and PvMers' ability to farm **Kerapac seamlessly** after combat-related skill-creep increases. --- #### **Historical Price Insights** Analyzing the price data alongside key historical events: 1. **Launch & Initial Bubble (July to Nov 2021):** - **Initial hype pricing** post-launch, similar to other higher-level ability codices, began high at 125M GP but immediately lost inertia, particularly after the **Croesus boss release** (Sep 2021). Prices fell sharply as resources and players shifted focus, aligning with a natural supply increase from Elder God Wars farming. 2. **The Crash Cycle (End of 2021 - Early 2022):** - The **January 2022 Duel Arena removal** caused a ripple effect, drying up a key gambling GP sink and effectively spilling excess GP back into the economy. This excess cash, layered with the **Rollback Dupe (2021)** flooding the market, stabilized prices around **60-80M GP** as surplus GP found its way into PvM gearing. 3. **Economy Disruptions & Temporary Hype (Late 2022 - Early 2023):** - Significant disturbances like the **Fresh Start Worlds (Sep 2022)** and **Scrimshaw Dupe (Jan 2023)** destabilized mid-tier gear, codices included. The duel of rising injections (dupes, exploits, payouts) versus lost value in high-demand PvM metas caused fluctuation between 55M and 68M GP. By November 2023, demand climbed from the **Max Combat Level 152 upgrade**, pushing more melee builds toward sustained Flurry-use relevance. 4. **Recent Influences (Easter Dupes, Max Cash, Mining & Smithing Overhaul, Combat Patch):** - Codex temporarily rebounded during **March 2024's Combat Update** at 85.5M GP as demand briefly peaked; this coincided with high combat experimentation. The subsequent plummet (into low/mid 40M GP range by April-May) reflects fallout from GP inflation via **April dupes** and **Max Cash exploit**. - The long-term dampening effects of added 1B GP **Treasure Hunter injections** prevented significant recovery. --- #### **Future Price Prediction (Mid-2024 Onward)** 1. **Short-Term (2-3 months):** - With **RuneScape post-Max Cash recovery**, Greater Flurry's price will slowly rise but remains niche. Bonds consistently deflate gold (raised to **$8.99 in 2024**), creating mild upward pressure. - Floor prediction: **45M GP**, ceiling prediction: **60M GP**. Expect volatility to subside as dupe-related excess runs dry. 2. **Long-Term (6-12 months):** - **Stability through PvM trends**—demand will remain relatively flat without major melee PvM updates. Long-term sustained buying pressure will likely push it back to **55M-70M GP.** --- #### **Flipping Margins** Typical margins for **Greater Flurry Codex** range from **2-5M GP** depending on daily trader activity, with larger spikes during content release periods or system glitches. The ideal flipping strategy involves holding during PvM-related downtime and selling during patch or update hype. 1. **Low-Margin Period:** Current (April-May 2024) due to oversupply following dupes. 2. **High-Margin Period:** Historical examples include **Combat Update (March 2024)** and **Necromancy release benefits** (August 2023). --- #### **Similar Items to Watch** 1. **Greater Fury Codex (Greater Ricochet Alternative):** - Closely mimics Greater Flurry due to melee similarities but focuses on single-target builds. - Flipping historical similarity: **Strong PvM meta correlation, spiking heavily during ability reworks (Necromancy, Combat Patch).** 2. **Greater Barge Codex:** - Another melee PvM cornerstone frequently fluctuating post-content drops. Less volatile but earns **better steady flipping margins.** 3. **Codices from Nex Angel of Death:** - Greater Concentrated Blast Codex or Grico are melee-unrelated but frequently shadow other PvM codex trends. Buy when melee codex dips and resell as GP relocates. --- #### **Seasonal Price Trends** 1. **Positive Buying Season (Low Prices):** - Post-major PvM releases (like **Sanctum of Rebirth**) when GP is drained into new equipment. - **Summer months (June-August):** Community spending prioritizes Bonds (for IRL benefits like Premier Club Membership), making items cheaper. 2. **Positive Selling Season (High Prices):** - Pre-major PvM/meta updates (**February–April**) ideal timing. - Example: Prior to combat-related events or in the lead-up to Necromancy overhaul. 3. **Negative Trajectory Period:** - Economic crises (**Dupes, GP Exploits**). Avoid holding during Treasure Hunter promo abuse periods, as these massively impact economic confidence/transient demand. --- ### Final Recommendations - Hold if priced below **50M GP**, sell off once post-summer speculation closes (~60M GP). - Diversify with Greater Barge or Nex Darting/EOD Codices if immediate PvM-meta demand appears stagnated.