### Brooch of the Gods Analysis: #### Summary: The **Brooch of the Gods** is a high-tier utility item and skilling accessory in RuneScape 3. Released on **February 22, 2021**, it provides passive benefits for skilling, particularly involving **Divination** and **Archaeology**, while also synergizing with Core items and skilling outfits. Its key feature is its ability to auto-convert Divination energy, remove the need for weaving energy, and increase Archaeology collection progress. With unique bonuses and cross-skill utility, the Brooch is particularly favored by Ironman players and skilling-centric accounts. This item was released as a **rare Treasure Hunter reward** and has not been directly reintroduced, maintaining its scarcity. Although Jagex occasionally re-releases rare Treasure Hunter rewards in events, the Brooch has avoided saturation, contributing to steady demand. #### Rarity: The Brooch is considered **rare**, but it does not reach the scarcity of untradable items or discontinued tradables like partyhats. Its primary users include high-level skillers who value efficiency. As such, its rarity fluctuates but is generally high since users are not likely to re-sell it after acquisition. --- ### Price Prediction: January to July 2025 Based on historical analysis, the Brooch demonstrates noticeable **fluctuations driven by updates, market liquidity, and Treasure Hunter activity**. Here’s how its price evolution connects with events: 1. **Steady Bull Trend in Skill-Heavy Updates**: E.g., Late 2023 and early 2024 saw skill and combat updates (Necromancy release, Mining/Smithing rework), correlating with price boosts. - Example: Price peaked near **177.8M (Sept 2023)** due to Necromancy demand. 2. **Bearish Period Linked to Economic Disruptions**: Major gp injections such as dupes and Treasure Hunter inflation tend to lower Brooch prices temporarily. - Example: **April 2024 price dip to 146.4M**, shortly after duped Treasure Hunter rewards and synthetic supply shocks. #### Price Forecast (Next Few Months): - Q1 2025 (January–March): **140M–150M**. There is limited imminent demand from skilling players unless new buffs or related perks are introduced during updates. January seasonal slowdown further dampens activity. - Q2 2025 (April–June): A **staged recovery to 155M–160M** can occur, driven by summer influx of players and demand for hybrid skilling/efficiency gear prefacing any summer events. Any content emphasizing Archaeology or combat-adjacent gameplay may create upside pressure. - Longer-term potential **buoyant breakout towards 165M–175M** is possible in late Q3 2025 if economically supportive game updates incentivize endgame players. --- #### Historical Price Drivers: - **SECULAR BULLS**: - **Skill-boosting updates**: Max Combat with Necromancy (+20% in mid-2023). - **Consumable GP influx**: Periods post-bug exploitation and dupes led to players speculating higher during buyouts (e.g., the aftermath of Scrimshaw dupe exploited in Q1 2023). - Lack of direct re-releases keeping stock relatively contained. - **BEAR TRENDS**: - **Gold Duplication or Treasure Hunter GP injections**: - April 2024 (TH injection by Jagex): caused stagnation. - Fresh Start Worlds/FSW Liquidations or hacked wealth dumps in mid-2023 (siphoning liquidity). - Updates unrelated to skilling gear emphasis. --- #### Flipping Margins: The Brooch of the Gods tends to be a **moderate-volume, high-margin flipping item** in the GE. Fluctuations typically result in **buy-sell spreads ranging from 4M to 7M GP** on an average price of 140M–160M. Optimal flipping occurs: 1. **During weekend Treasure Hunter events**, where speculative mid-high volumes drive volatility. 2. **Post-panic selling periods**, such as after GP injections. Example: - Buy near **142M midweek stagnation period** → Sell at **148M on weekend divination skilling promotions**. --- ### Comparable Items to Diversify: If you’re looking to complement investments or flips alongside the Brooch of the Gods, here are fitting suggestions: 1. **Grace of the Elves (GOTE)**: - A comparable hybrid skilling item, synergizing especially with Divination and Seren Spirit mechanics. Trends similarly in skill-heavy meta shifts. - Perfect hedge for skilling market downturns. 2. **Portables & Luminite Injectors**: - Consumable skilling boosts. Demand spikes during Mining/Smithing or Artisan community events. 3. **Portable Skilling Packs and Protean Items**: - Manageable low-cost flips directly related to updates increasing skilling XP demand. --- ### Seasonal Market Trends: - **Positive Impact Seasons**: - Late Spring/Early Summer (May–July): Playerbase influx pre/post-summer event launches. Times offering skill-heavy gameplay amplify demand. - December-January: Minor spikes due to holiday xp-farming surges and TH promo whales. - **Negative Trends**: - Late Winter (February/March): GP liquidity slows with reduced Treasures trades, alongside potential sell-offs from TH gamblers abandoning stock. - Post-major Dupes or updates inserting Tier 90–95 BiS PvM alternatives erodes lingering speculative capital from hybrid skill-PvM markets. A balanced diversification strategy and adherence to flipping windows (event-driven or panic-driven) will optimize both upside and risk management. Use caution during liquidity shocks!