### Summary of the Divert Ability Codex The **Divert Ability Codex**, introduced during the release of high-level defensive combat abilities, unlocks the **Divert ability.** This ability allows players using a shield while under resonance effects to redirect any damage absorbed into adrenaline gain. Highly situational, it’s favored in niche PvM encounters for increased adrenaline management in defensive combat setups. First released on **January 25, 2021**, the item is created via **Archaeology** at an Invention workbench using various materials. Its origins, tied to player-crafted codices, make it semi-rare depending on the player base actively farming Archaeology components. ### Rarity and Sourcing Factors The Codex's rarity depends on demand for defensive tanking setups in PvM metas, especially for content like Telos or Zamorak, Lord of Chaos. The reliance on materials from **rare Ancient Gizmos** acts as a natural bottleneck. However, as the community ages and more players max Archaeology, long-term codex rarity has slowly lessened. Still, price volatility arises from spikes in meta relevance, PvM updates, or shifts in defensive combat trends. --- ### **Price Analysis and Prediction** #### Price Trends and Events Historical pricing data shows steady long-term appreciation since early **2023**, with notable fluctuations tied to broader RuneScape economic trends. Key highlights include: - **Late 2021–2022:** Prices remained relatively low (~15M–18M) post-release as market saturation balanced early demand. - **2023:** Prices rebound, peaking significantly after the February **700B dupe incident**, which flooded gold and inflated item costs across the board. - **Mid-2023–2024:** After the **Necromancy launch in August 2023 (max combat levels increased to 152)**, PvM interest surged, leading to considerably higher prices (~90M+ by mid-2024). #### Recent Spikes and Dips - The **Treasure Hunter influx of GP (April 2024)** caused intense inflation (~129M by October 2024), but the mid-year **Max Cash exploit (May 2024)** amplified gold flooding, keeping prices high. - Similar endgame PvM releases, like **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)**, garnered sustained demand as Divert became more practical for high-difficulty bosses. #### Prediction (Q4 2024–Q1 2025) - **Short-Term Dip:** Economic shockwaves from the **November GIM bank-dupe bug**, alongside any continued GP injections due to Treasure Hunter changes, may temper prices slightly (~100M–110M). - **Mid-Term Growth:** If Jagex releases another combat-centric update or revisits defensive mechanics (highly likely post-December PvM roadmap), demand should drive prices toward **135M–140M by Q1 2025.** --- ### **Flipping Margins Analysis** Typical flipping margins for the Divert Ability Codex range **4M–15M** depending on: 1. **Activity spikes:** Late-game PvM events, GP injections, or Treasure Hunter weekends. 2. **Seasonality:** Anticipate significant price overreaction during holiday content (Christmas and New Year), offering larger buy/sell spreads. Pro Tip: Focus on buying during Treasure Hunter-centric GP floods and selling during PvM-focused event cycles. Tools like the Grand Exchange market tracker and live trends are invaluable for detecting early movement shifts. --- ### **Alternative Investments** If flipping Divert becomes stagnant, consider the following items with comparable supply-and-demand profiles: - **Fury of the Small Codex:** Relatively cheap (~40M–50M historically), and its versatility in adrenaline-gain makes it a PvM favorite. - **Vulnerability Bombs (Invention):** Consumable prices often spike alongside new high-level bossing content updates and are easier to flip in bulk. - **Cryptbloom Armor Pieces:** While pricier, these have overlapping demand with Divert among tank-style PvMers. --- ### **Seasonal Market Trends** - **Positive Price Influencers:** - **Preceding Combat Updates:** Speculation usually inflates PvM-related item prices ahead of confirmed boss or meta changes. - **Post-Event Economy Rebound (After Dupes):** Once panic sells taper post-economic shocks (e.g., 2024 GIM bug), item prices recover quickly as gold stabilizes across the economy. - **Negative Price Influencers:** - **Weak PvM Meta Updates:** Nerfs to defensive strategies (e.g., reduced shield viability or nerfs to Divert mechanics) would depress prices. - **Treasure Hunter GP Infusions:** Sudden influxes, like Jagex’s 2024 1B GP addition to TH, cause short-term price devaluation across non-consumables. --- ### Conclusion The Divert Ability Codex has demonstrated steady demand and growth tied to defensive-PvM trends, with future spikes likely in Q1 2025 tied to continued PvM updates. Buy in during holiday GP flooding events or downturns stemming from economic instability (e.g., dupe scares), and flip during new boss cycles or combat mechanic updates. Diversify investments into overlapping PvM-centric items like Fury of the Small or Cryptbloom for consistent profit margins. Maintain vigilance during holiday seasons for opportunities to capitalize on overcorrections in pricing behavior.