### Summary of Golden Roses The **Golden Roses** are a decorative, tradeable item in RuneScape 3. They debuted during a **cosmetic-themed Treasure Hunter promotion** in mid-2022 and were marketed as an elegant vanity piece, appealing to collectors and merchers alike. Their immediate popularity stemmed from their unique aesthetic, low drop rates, and their association with high-status display items. While the exact release date isn't explicitly documented, their price peaked shortly after their **August 2022 Treasure Hunter promotion**. ### Overall Rarity and Market Placement Golden Roses are **uncommon-to-rare** and primarily designed for players seeking niche high-end cosmetics. Their demand is driven by a combination of their exclusivity and synergy with gilded items. Despite Treasure Hunter’s efforts to occasionally rotate similar golden-tier items, **Golden Roses haven't been directly re-released**, preserving their scarcity. ### Historical Price Trends Golden Roses have showcased volatility, with price shifts linked to events that affected the RuneScape economy. Key **price thresholds** over time: 1. **Initial demand surge (August 2022):** Prices were firm at 1.3M-1.5M GP due to player-driven hype during their release. 2. **Decline post-2022 (late year):** Economy-wide inflation began setting in, largely driven by GP influx from events like Fresh Start Worlds and small market corrections. Prices stabilized around 1.1M GP. 3. **Sharp spike (February 2023):** The **Scrimshaw dupe** flood briefly elevated cosmetic and rare-tier items as GP entered the economy before a correction nosedived their prices. 4. **Severe crash (November 2023):** Prices fell to a low of **501k GP**, likely impacted by the **Black Partyhat release** and market oversaturation of cosmetics. 5. **Price rebound (mid-2024):** Following dupe-related crashes (Easter Events, Max-Cash exploits), a gradual market recovery drove roses to a **peak of 2M GP (August 2024)**. ### Price Prediction (Next Few Months - Late 2024 to Early 2025) Given historical trends and upcoming circumstances, the Golden Roses’ price trajectory is tied to several dynamics: **Upside Factors:** - **Post-Sanctum of Rebirth Update (July 2024):** Increased player activity often boosts cosmetic demand. - **Mining/Smithing Rework (August 2024):** Revived crafting-based vanity trends could see renewed interest in Golden Roses. - **Festive Seasons (December 2024):** Winter holidays often raise demand for vanity items as players splurge on GP. **Downside Risk:** - **GIM Bank Exploit (November 2024):** If dupes devalue GP heading into 2025, luxury items like Golden Roses may stagnate or dip. - **Seasonal GP Dumping (January-February 2025):** Post-holiday corrections when players liquidate assets. **Forecast:** - Late 2024: Expect prices to hover between **2.0M-2.4M**, with a possibility of minor dips in November due to macroeconomic instability. - Early 2025: Potential correction to **1.5M-1.8M** as supply-demand stabilizes post-festive activity. ### Typical Flipping Margins Golden Roses possess **attractive flipping qualities**, especially during their price rebounds. Historical margins: - Low at 501k GP during November 2023 → Sold above 1.18M GP in early 2024 for **135% profit**. - Regular flipping during periods of stability (1.2M → 1.42M) provides **15-20% margins**. Ideal flipping frequency: Daily trades during volatility events and patient holding during price stagnation. ### Similar Items for Investment 1. **Gilded Cavalier Cap:** Another popular Treasure Hunter vanity item boasting similar aesthetic appeal. Its price also correlates with bursts of GP influx. 2. **Golden Phylactery (Necromancy):** A mid-tier investment benefitting from **Necromancy’s market dominance**. 3. **Decorated Cooking Urns:** Seasonal vanity trends can often elevate urns during Treasure Hunter promotions. ### Seasonal Trends for Cosmetics **Positive Influencers:** - **Winter Holiday Promotions (December):** Festive Treasure Hunter rewards and higher holiday player counts often boost prices. - **Necromancy or Combat Updates:** Vanity rises after any combat-oriented update as competitive players cash out on surplus GP. **Negative Influencers:** - **January Liquidation:** Post-holiday item dumping frequently leads to declining prices across the vanity spectrum. - **Post-Update Overcorrection:** Items crash when inflated by temp-hype or Treasure Hunter re-release announcements. ### Final Takeaway Golden Roses, while a relatively niche cosmetic item, have proven lucrative for the patient investor. Their upcoming price trajectory through late 2024 and 2025 largely hinges on macroeconomic RuneScape trends, but an intact rarity ensures their viability for long-term flipping. Consider leveraging expected **2M+ peaks around festivities** by pairing similar investments in gilded or golden-tier vanity items.