### Summary of the Hacky Sack Resting Emote Token The **Hacky Sack Resting Emote Token** is a rare cosmetic item in RuneScape 3 that unlocks the Hacky Sack Resting emote. It was originally introduced via **Treasure Hunter** in late 2020 during an event emphasizing social and resting cosmetics. While primarily cosmetic, these tokens have become valued for their rarity and novelty, making them coveted by collectors, merchanters, and emote enthusiasts alike. This token is **untradable upon use**, but its **tradeable token form** exists in limited supply. Its rarity stems from being locked to a short Treasure Hunter release window and lack of consistent re-releases. When it was introduced, the key economy and saturation were much lower compared to 2022-2024, which contributed to its relative scarcity and appeal even today. No recorded re-releases of this token in Treasure Hunter or other promotional content have been confirmed since its release window. ### Rarity Analysis The current rarity should be classified as **high**, as the broader RuneScape economy has shifted away from emotes and cosmetic resting tokens at large. Adding to this rarity, the inflation stemming from economic disruptions (dupes, combat updates, and Treasure Hunter gold injections) creates an environment where investing in a niche non-combat item is substantially rare compared to other items like active combat enhancements or dyes. --- ### Price Prediction 2024-25 Here's an analysis of historical price trends: 1. **Initial Demand (Jan 2021 - Early 2022)** Early 2021 saw a **spike in prices** during the surge of gold from rollback dupes (January 2021, peaking at 11M). This was driven by players with excess wealth investing in collectibles. 2. **Decline (2022)** Prices fluctuated later due to changing player priorities. As cosmetics received fewer updates and items like dyes or combat gear became central, the price dipped. The Duel Arena removal in January 2022 also shifted significant GP flows into the Grand Exchange (pushing breadth into combat rather than cosmetics), reducing interest in tokens like Hacky Sack. By mid-2022, prices stabilized at around **2.8M on average**. 3. **Recession (Late 2023 - Mid-2024)** After major dupe and hacking scandals in 2023, RuneScape’s in-game economy saw hyperinflation and frequent destabilization of prices. Players dumped niche collectibles to liquidate liquidity, which explains the **July 2023 plummet to 389K**. 4. **Long-Term Stability & Projected Recovery (2024-2025)** With combat updates (Necromancy and the rebalances post-Max Combat Level) and Smithing/Mining rework streamlining trade necessity, the wealth shift might reduce hyper-focus on purely optimized endgame investments, reviving collectibles like Hacky Sack Tokens as wealth sinks. - **Price Prediction Q4 2024-Q2 2025**: Rising to **800K - 1.4M**, driven by collection resurgence and a return to stability post-other inflationary crises like the Max Cash update exploit. --- ### Price Catalysts - **Positive Catalysts**: - If Jagex reintroduces interest-based collectibles or Treasure Hunter cosmetics. - A combat nerf or update that discourages high GP investment combat items (temporarily boosting other asset classes like collectibles). - Potential involvement with **Fresh Start Worlds 2** or a similar reboot where cosmetics may shine. - **Negative Catalysts**: - **Re-releases** on irreversible promotional events, risking price cratering. - Eventual player sell-offs if inflationary conditions worsen (e.g., new dupes, GP injections). - Bonds' price increases force liquidations by casual players uninterested in collectibles. --- ### Flipping Margins Current flipping margins are narrow due to market instability below its 2023 peak. Tokens like these are highly speculative but follow a known trend of stagnating at a bottom price due to low daily trade volumes. **Estimated Margin per Flip** (short-term): **50K - 100K profit** for casual traders. Flipping niches involve buying during dips around **event releases (beta major content)** or after **gold-generation crises** (e.g., GP injections from Treasure Hunter). --- ### Similar Items for Investment - **Marionette Resting Emote Token**: Similar in rarity, with occasional spikes. - **Disc of Returning**: A classic niche collectible with long-term stability as a safe wealth-storage item. - **Golden Partyhat Shards**: Often overlooked, but high volatility leads to excellent flipping opportunities. - **Teleport Cosmetics (like Orb of the Cywir Elders)**: Niche items that overperform due to thematic relevance in arcs like Elder God Wars replica updates. --- ### Seasonal Trends - **Positive Seasons (Price Gain)**: - **January - March**: After the holiday season, sparking fresh player engagement and collectible demand. - **End of Summer**: An uptick is common as new updates usually rejuvenate the player economy. - **Negative Seasons (Price Decline)**: - **September - October**: Major releases (like Hero Pass, Seasonal Fresh Start) typically cause GP shifts into newly released items. - **November - December**: Players typically hoard gold for Christmas rarities and promotions, leading to dumping niche items. Investing in the Hacky Sack Resting Token requires patience—recovery may be slow but substantial, especially when viewed through the lens of cosmetics accumulating interest with a growing collector base.