### Summary of the Greater Sunshine Ability Codex The **Greater Sunshine Ability Codex** is an unlock item in RuneScape 3 that enhances the standard **Sunshine ability**, a staple of high-level magic combat. Released on **July 5, 2022**, it was introduced as a reward from the City of **Edimmu's Citadel dungeon**. Unlike other items, this codex binds directly upon usage, making it a one-time purchase for players looking to boost their DPS; thus, this codex primarily targets endgame PvMers. Its initial hype and functionality drove its demand and made it a lucrative trade item. The rarity is influenced by its drop rate and associated effort in acquiring it, which limits direct supply. --- ### Price Analysis: 2022-2024 Trends and Influences The item's pricing history reveals dramatic shifts during its lifecycle. Below are the notable insights: 1. **Stage 1: Release and Initial Surge (July - Aug 2022)** The Greater Sunshine Ability Codex debuted amidst *high demand*, with prices skyrocketing to **1.37B GP** shortly after its release. This reflects typical trends of new impactful items in PvM; players eager to gain an edge over competition drive initial prices upward. The inflated peak was partly due to gold surges caused by the **July 2022 rollback dupe**—economic instability made high-end items artificially expensive as excess GP chased limited rare items. 2. **Stage 2: Market Correction and Stabilization (Sep - Dec 2022)** Post-Hype World Events: - Demand softened as more codices entered circulation. By late 2022, prices hovered near **300-400M GP**, stabilizing due to supply meeting demand. - The **Fresh Start Worlds (Sep 2022)** also tempered prices slightly as new players shifted attention and resources away from legacy items. 3. **Stage 3: Intermittent Spikes (2023)** The ability codex saw steady movements in early 2023 (**400M → 300M GP**) but encountered small spikes during events: - **January 2023 Dupes and Hacks** caused widespread panic. As GP became less "meaningful," lower-value commodities, including the codex, temporarily stabilized in mid-to-high ranges (375M+). - The **Necromancy Update (Aug 2023)** caused reduced interest in magic-specific items as focus shifted to hybrid combat, leading to gradual price declines. 4. **Stage 4: Long-Term Low (Late 2023 - Mid 2024)** By mid-2024, coinciding with significant **GP injections** (e.g., **March Combat Rework** and **April Treasure Hunter GP prize updates**), values slumped to ~**100-150M GP**. With diminishing marginal returns for PvM-specific players, the codex entered a long-term undervalue phase compared to prior highs. --- ### Price Prediction: Nov 2024 - Early 2025 Looking ahead, the codex's future price trends will likely depend on three key drivers: 1. **Supply Control via PvM Updates:** If Edimmu's Citadel sees higher player interaction (e.g., difficulty reduction, rebalancing drops), prices may drop as supply surges. Conversely, if overshadowed by new content, the codex supply may stagnate, causing slow upward pressure. 2. **PvM Meta Shifts:** The codex will retain relevance for magic builds within elite PvM, but further combat diversity (e.g., Necromancy or future combat rebalance updates) may reduce its demand. 3. **Gold Supply Trends**: Continual inflation from GP dupes or high GP-long-term exposure via Treasure Hunter could stabilize floor price, likely **130M-180M GP** through March 2025. ### Predicted Price Range Over Time: - **Dec 2024:** ~120M-140M GP (minor corrections from Halloween/Fort Forinthry/GIM bug). - **Jan-Feb 2025:** Potential spike during dry January PvM resurgence (~150M GP max). - **Mar 2025+:** Stagnant or slow climb, hitting ~175-200M GP based on scarcity. --- ### Flipping Margins and Trading Insights Typical flipping margins for the codex rely on its low-medium volume. Immediate flips (buy/sell difference) often sit around **3-8M GP**, while longer holds during PvM peak seasons can net **10-20M GP** margins in active markets. For low-risk investments, buying near **content droughts** before combat updates yields the safest returns. Common flipping advice: - Target off-peak buying months—February and August historically see reduced interaction. - Focused resales during **Treasure Hunter holidays** (e.g., Christmas, Easter) as PvMers earn excess GP. --- ### Related Items for Portfolio Diversification Other PvM meta-enhancing items often correlate price-wise with the Greater Sunshine Ability Codex. Simultaneous investments in the following items provide diversification: - **Greater Death's Swiftness Ability Codex**: The ranged counterpart, prices track closely (greater margins during rebalancing). - **Animate Dead Spell Codex**: While defensive, its complementary use in magic combat makes it rise/fall alongside the Greater Sunshine. - **Fractured Staff of Armadyl (FSoA)**: Meta-defining magic weapon, directly influenced by magic PvM metas (outperforms codex when DPS demand surges). --- ### Seasonal Price Impacts - **Positive Seasonal Trends:** Post-holiday GP inflations drive PvM item demand (**Jan, Apr, Sep**). Combat-oriented events further amplify these trends. - **Negative Seasonal Trends:** Large GP injections (duplication events, Treasure Hunter bulk GP rewards) and PvM-scarce updates (e.g., skilling reworks like **Mining Rework in Aug 2024**) cause prices to dip. By understanding these trends alongside historical context, well-timed flips or defensive investments in related markets can yield consistent profits.