### Summary of the Inverted Attack Skillcape (120) The **Inverted Attack Skillcape (120)** is an alternate cosmetic version of the standard Attack 120 Skillcape, introduced during limited-time events or promotions involving skill mastery customization. As a rare collectible item, it boasts high popularity among cosmetic-focused players and completionists. Its availability was primarily tied to participation in the **2022 Fresh Start Worlds** event (running from 09/26/2022 to 01/09/2023), where it served as a reward for achieving 120 Attack within the limited-duration worlds. Following the conclusion of Fresh Start Worlds, the cape became permanently unobtainable, cementing its rarity. #### Rarity and Historical Importance - **Rarity:** Extremely rare due to the narrow eligibility during Fresh Start Worlds. Unlike traditional skillcapes, inverted variants have no alternative acquisition methods, making them highly sought-after. - **Customization Significance:** Inverted capes represent a trend toward personal aesthetic preferences in RuneScape, often clustering around events that celebrate skill milestones. - **Release Date:** September 26, 2022 (Fresh Start Worlds event). - **Rarity compared to others:** Rarer than legacy rares like **Black Santa Hats**, but not quite as generationally scarce as discontinued partyhats. --- ### Price Analysis & Trends (2023-2024) #### Historical Price Behavior The price records show high volatility influenced by external economic phenomena and RuneScape's frequent updates and exploits: 1. Initial high prices (e.g., **1.3B GP on 11/26/2022**) demonstrate initial rarity-driven demand alongside speculation. 2. Notable crashes (e.g., **300M on 12/19/2022**) followed substantial GP injection events like dupe exploits or post-event sell-offs by Fresh Start participants. 3. Peaks (e.g., **600M+ in January 2023**) reflect restabilization caused by a reduced trading pool after sellers consolidated inventory. #### Correlations with Events - **GP Dupes**: Massive GP additions from events like the **01/11/2021 rollback dupe** and **Scrimshaw dupe (01/29/2023)** heavily inflated overall wealth, leading to speculative booms in rare cosmetic items. - **Hero Pass Backlash (09/2023)**: Decreased player trust often forces high-value collectibles like inverted skillcapes into panic sell-offs. - **Max Combat Level Increase (08/07/2023)**: Led to devaluation of some combat-related items, including skill-related cosmetics, as resources moved toward Necromancy. - **Fresh Start Expiry (2022)**: As Fresh Start Worlds concluded, initially accessible inverted capes dried up from the economy, stabilizing prices post-correction. #### Recent Trends By mid-2024, the **Inverted Attack Skillcape (120)** resides in stable territory, floating between **500M and 650M GP**. However, speculative manipulation (common for discontinued items) and future Jagex decisions will likely cause turbulence. --- ### Price Prediction (Late 2024 – Early 2025) #### Short-Term (Next 3-6 Months) - **Prediction Price Range:** **450M–700M GP** - **Potential Drivers:** Upcoming holiday seasons (e.g., Christmas 2024) traditionally see increased spending on rares due to player influx and gifting culture. However, this may be counterbalanced by continued GP injection exploits like the **11/2024 GIM Bug (2.1B)** and newer dupes diminishing GP value. #### Risks: - Upcoming **03/04/2024 combat update** introduces a chance of renewed focus on combat metas, potentially reinvigorating the demand for combat-associated capes momentarily. - Future dupes or GP injection events (e.g., **Treasure Hunter 1B rewards in 2024**) will suppress gains across most collectibles. --- ### Flipping Margins The **Inverted Attack Skillcape (120)** demonstrates wide historical price spreads, making it a profitable but high-risk item for flipping. Recent price margins suggest: - **Buy Range (Low Activity Periods):** 450M–550M GP - **Sell Range (Event-Inspired Hype):** 600M–700M+ GP - **Margins per Flip:** ~50M–150M GP, assuming favorable market timing and liquidity. Expert investors time purchases during **player backlash periods** or after highly publicized glitches that cause “fear sells.” Resales peak during holiday hype or when major, untradeable content distracts the market. --- ### Diversification Advice: Other Items to Track To mitigate risk, consider diversifying into items with parallel rarity profiles, such as: 1. **Inverted Skillcapes (other combat skills):** Each inverted cape parallels Attack’s trajectory and retains value across similar player bases. 2. **Black Santa Hat/Blue Santa Hat:** These holiday rares move in tandem with GP inflation trends. 3. **Recolored Party Hats (e.g., Black Partyhat):** A safer option post-Black Partyhat release (Dec 2023) if demand persists. 4. **Elite Skilling Outfits:** Popular cosmetic assets post-reworks (e.g., Mining & Smithing updates build excitement around elite-themed items). --- ### Seasonal Influence on Prices #### Positive Market Trends: - **Winter Holidays (Nov–Dec):** Festive gifting and returning players cause spikes in cosmetics/rags-to-riches speculation. - **Skill/Content Updates:** Reintroduction of achievement-based milestones inflates nostalgia-driven or flex-trend items. #### Negative Market Trends: - **Post-Dupe Events:** Significant GP injections (e.g., **2024 dupes**) flood markets and crash rarities. - **Major Bug Fixes:** Following removal of exploits, destabilization forces slow recoveries across all collectibles. #### Ideal Strategy: Focus on **November–December buying cycles**, particularly following dupe-related depressions to maximize discounted entry points. Sell during **February-April (post-holiday splurges)** or **September (pre-Hero Pass replacement speculation)** to lock in profits during player surges. By targeting inversions in market trends around prominent holidays or exploit-driven corrections, investors can secure higher, more consistent gains.