### Cocktail Flare Rest Override Token Overview The **Cocktail Flare Rest Override Token** is a cosmetic item used to unlock a resting animation where the player lounges with a cocktail, often sought after for its lighthearted and stylish vibe. It was originally introduced as a rare reward on **Treasure Hunter** during an event in mid-2021 alongside several other summer-themed cosmetics. With token overrides being time-limited and often exclusive to specific Treasure Hunter events, the Cocktail Flare has gained appeal among collectors and fashion-focused players. #### Rarity This token is classified as rare, particularly because it has not been re-released frequently, with its major debut in Treasure Hunter coming during a time of heightened interest in summer-themed items. Its absence from the game for extended periods naturally limits supply, giving it scarcity value. #### Summary of Price Evolution From its release, the Cocktail Flare token peaked at **11.3M GP in January 2021**, likely due to its initial hype combined with the significant inflation caused by the **01/11/2021 Rollback Dupe**, which introduced trillions of GP into the economy. Afterwards, the price exhibited cycles of steep declines and sporadic spikes, eventually reaching **500K GP in July 2024**. Price points to note: - **2021:** The token's price ranged between **9M-11M**, especially in early 2021, but dipped significantly by **July 2021**, coinciding with the **Recovery Dupe (07/01/2021)** that caused a flood of Treasure Hunter rewards to enter the economy. - **2022:** By **January 2022**, the Duel Arena's removal and subsequent decline in staking likely contributed to the token stabilizing near **2M GP**. The **Fresh Start Worlds release (09/22/2022)** caused further volatility as wealth was moved between accounts, resulting in some temporary price hikes to over **1M GP**. - **2023:** The **Necromancy release (08/07/2023)** and the **Hero Pass backlash (09/05/2023)** saw players liquidating assets, driving prices of cosmetics lower. By then, the token hovered around **1.1M GP.** - **2024:** Recent price stagnation likely reflects the **Max Cash exploit (05/15/2024)** and the reactivation of high-value Treasure Hunter promos, which caused GP inflation and devalued niche items like this token. --- ### Price Prediction (Late 2024–Early 2025) Given the historical data and trends, the price of the Cocktail Flare Rest Override Token is likely to continue fluctuating within a small band unless a major re-release or Treasure Hunter promo disrupts the market: - **Upside Prediction:** Barring re-release, the price could mildly recover to **750K–1M GP** if coinciding with a new Treasure Hunter promotion or July 2024’s GP inflation subsiding post-Sanctum of Rebirth. - **Downside Prediction:** If re-released during a summer or relaxation-themed event (e.g., Easter 2025-like promos), its value could collapse to **200K-350K GP**, as Treasure Hunter catalysts often flood the supply. **Risks:** - High GP inflation (exacerbated from events like the upcoming **Mining/Smithing rework and Max Cash replacements**) may keep cosmetic-only items, especially overrides, undervalued relative to liquid resources like bonds or low-mid-tier rares. --- ### Flipping Margins Flippers could capitalize on small variations: 1. **Current Margins:** Based on average market behavior, fluctuating values around **400K-600K GP** suggest flipping profits of **~50K–100K GP per trade**, depending on market volumes during key Treasure Hunter promotions (look especially during mid-week and post-event cleanup periods). 2. **Ideal Positioning:** Target purchases below **400K GP** when supply increases (e.g., the lead-up to winter re-releases or after high-value TH keys promos). Sell during early summer or aesthetic-themed Treasure Hunter cycles, when collectors prioritize override cosmetics. ### Similar Items to Watch For players or flippers interested in items with comparable trends: 1. **Beach Short Rest Override Token**: Valued for its similar vibe and seasonal appeal, it experienced spikes near summer Treasure Hunter promos but remains a lower-cap growth prospect than the Cocktail Flare. 2. **Tropical Islander Outfit Tokens**: Rare and thematically tied to the summer vibe, these often get lumped into the same sentiment as the Cocktail Flare. 3. **Portable Pool Rest Token**: Another overlooked but similar override that might experience correlated price movements during summer. --- ### Seasonal Trends for Investment #### Positive Seasons (Price Growth Expected) - **Mid-Summer (June–July):** Overlaps with player nostalgia and aesthetic collection goals. Look for Treasure Hunter downtime between major themed events. Cosmetics with "restful" or "tropical" aesthetics tend to gain traction during this period. - **Post-Hyperinflation Periods:** New GP sinks or Treasure Hunter nerfs (e.g., **combat updates**) often stabilize cosmetic prices, creating demand stability. #### Negative Seasons (Price Decline Risks) - **Early Winter (November–December):** Overlaps with cosmetic-heavy Treasure Hunter promos, flooding the market with overrides. - **Major Dupes:** When large GP exploits occur, inflation often causes cosmetic stagnation disproportionate to utility-focused purchases (e.g., bonds or consumables). --- ### Conclusion The Cocktail Flare Rest Override Token is a niche, semi-luxury cosmetic that heavily depends on seasonal demand cycles and Treasure Hunter trends. While it has observable flipping potential at current prices, long-term investments should hedge against GP inflation and further devaluation risks via re-releases. Flippers should also monitor GP supply changes (e.g., **post-Winter Treasure Hunter promos**) and invest in parallel cosmetics like the **Beach Short Rest Token** for diversified exposure.