### **Inverted Bubbles Halo Pet Token Analysis** #### **Summary**: The *Inverted Bubbles Halo Pet Token* is a cosmetic item introduced as part of the Treasure Hunter “Inverted Halo” promotion. It allows players to unlock a unique inverted cosmetic effect for their pet. The design of the inverted halos was highly sought after due to its aesthetic appeal, particularly among cosmetic collectors and skilling enthusiasts. The item was tradeable primarily as a token, making it a staple of the RuneScape cosmetic market. **Release Date**: Likely tied to a specific Treasure Hunter promotion during the broader period of "Inverted" halo rewards in early 2023. **Rarity**: This item is considered rare due to its exclusive availability through limited-time Treasure Hunter events. Its supply is driven by the availability of keys and the willingness of players to redeem them, creating a niche but highly competitive market. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis and Market Trends**: Using the provided price data: - **01/07/2023:** Price was volatile, moving from **70m** to **35m** within a short time. Likely correlated with the end of a major Treasure Hunter promotion, causing an influx of tokens from late redeemers. - **01/09/2023:** Price rebounded to **50m**, potentially reflecting a growing scarcity as the event expired. #### **Historical Context**: 1. **01/11/2021 Rollback Dupe:** Introduced trillions of GP into the economy, inflating gold value. Over time, this diluted wealth increased prices of cosmetic and rare items. 2. **01/29/2023 Scrimshaw Dupe:** Directly precedes the observed timeline, flooding the market with more GP. The brief spike to **70m** may have been influenced by a surge in liquid wealth. 3. **Hero Pass Update (09/05/2023):** Negativity around microtransactions caused players to reject certain Treasure Hunter content. This could explain subsequent demand for prior event-based rare tokens like the halo. 4. **12/01/2023 Black Partyhat Release:** Market interest shifts away from older cosmetics like halos during iconic rare releases. 5. **Max Cash Exploit (05/15/2024):** Injected an astronomical amount of gold, potentially increasing item prices across the board. --- ### **Price Prediction (Late 2024–2025)**: Given the current trajectory of Treasure Hunter rewards, economic disruptions (gold influx), and growing interest in cosmetic items from collectors: - Expect **short-term pressure** due to distraction from recent releases (e.g., *Black Partyhat*, *Easter Egg Pets*). - **Mid-2025 projection**: A rebound to **60m-80m** as old Treasure Hunter cosmetics become scarcer and microtransaction fatigue shifts players toward limited, vintage cosmetics. - Potential rare spikes: Could reach **100m+** if Jagex eliminates halo aesthetics from future promotional events or during the next economic boom. --- ### **Flipping Margins**: 1. Halos typically sustain moderate swing margins, often between **5-10m** depending on timing. For example: - During Treasure Hunter promotional re-releases, prices can dip as low as **30-40m**, providing ample opportunity to buy. - Post-event scarcity drives prices up to **50-70m**, perfect for flipping. 2. **Ideal Flipping Scenario**: Invest in this item during widespread economic panic (e.g., following dupes or major GP exploits). Sell during content lulls when cosmetics regain appeal. --- ### **Comparable Items to Invest In**: 1. **Inverted Capes or Other Halo Tokens**: Players often collect full inverse sets for pets, meaning demand for complementary items like *Abyssal Halo Tokens* also rises in tandem. 2. **Gilded Aesthetics**: Items like *Gilded Armor*, *Golden Cape Tokens*, or *Prismatic Dyes* have similar collector appeal. 3. **Limited Rare Skilling Pets**: Tokens for pets like *Easter Egg Pets* or *Gummy Cat Tokens* often pair well with the inverted halo cosmetics. --- ### **Seasonal Market Patterns**: - **Positive Price Outcomes**: - **Post-Summer**: As players return after summer breaks, demand typically increases. - **Content Droughts**: Prolonged periods without new Treasure Hunter promotions or rare events boost interest in older cosmetics. - **Negative Price Outcomes**: - **Holiday Events**: Christmas/Black Friday promotions often lead to GP dumps, reducing prices temporarily. - **Dupes or Exploits**: Large-scale GP inflations dilute token value in the short term, creating a buying opportunity. --- ### **Insights & Advice**: - Focus on **market lulls** caused by treasure-core updates or GP exploits to accumulate tokens at lower prices. - Avoid panic selling during economic disruptions, as cosmetics like the *Inverted Bubbles Halo* retain niche demand among collectors. - Combine investments with other Treasure Hunter limited-edition halo or pet tokens to diversify portfolio risk while benefiting from interconnected demand trends.