### **Decimation Overview** Decimation is an Elder God Wars Dungeon Series Tier 87 two-handed Siege Longbow introduced to RuneScape on **September 23, 2015**, as part of the Second World Gate update. It is primarily used as a high-level ranged DPS weapon with unique mechanics, such as a special effect that refunds 10% adrenaline when firing its **Snipe** ability. This makes Decimation popular for adrenaline-intensive ranged PvM rotations, particularly in low-defense situations like AoE fights. The weapon is a drop from Helwyr, one of the four generals in the Heart of Gielinor. Despite its respectable stats and unique adrenaline mechanic, Decimation has historically struggled to retain its value due to frequent powercreep in RuneScape and the introduction of stronger longbows (e.g., Seren Godbow, Zuk's bow). The weapon's rarity is moderate, but its price fluctuations are heavily tied to updates, market speculation, and changes to PvM metas. --- ### **Historical Price Insights and Trends** **Price Chart Analysis:** 1. ***Initial Peak (January - March 2023):*** - Peaked at **160M GP** in February 2023, driven by inflation from the **700B Scrimshaw dupe (January 2023)**. - Sudden dips followed due to wealth cleanup, player hacks in February, and botted liquidity returning to the game. 2. ***Steady Decline (April - August 2023):*** - Decimation plummeted after the **Necromancy skill release (August 2023)**, which introduced max combat level changes and new PvM challenges that favored necromantic weapons. - The price temporarily spiked to **44.5M GP** in early August but quickly halved by the month’s end due to player disinterest amidst the Necromancy meta. 3. ***Recent Crash (October 2023 - Early 2024):*** - Price plummeted from **15M in August 2023** to **~1.7M in December 2024**, attributed to: - **Hero Pass backlash** causing diminished player trust in tradable content’s long-term value. - **Gold-sink updates** (e.g., Max-Cash rework exploit in May 2024), flooding GP back into game markets. - Combat meta shifts reduced Decimation’s relevance, weakening demand. --- ### **Price Prediction** Based on historical performance and current market metas, Decimation's price over the next few months will likely trend as follows: 1. **Near-Term (December 2024 - February 2025):** - The price may stabilize around **1.5–2M GP** as PvM activity picks up following holiday events, but overall demand will remain stagnant without a meta update. - The **2024 Combat Update (March 2024)** may slightly boost Decimation if it synergizes well with ranged changes, but this is speculative. 2. **Mid-Term (March - May 2025):** - **Speculative Upside Potential:** If developers address PvM balance or shift metas to favor lighter DPS setups (e.g., less reliance on Necromancy or Mage), Decimation could recover to **3–5M GP.** - **Risk of Further Decline:** With newer weapon releases and player fatigue from rampant GP inflation/dupes, it may bottom out at **~1M GP** if no update reignites interest. --- ### **Flipping Margins** Decimation is a feasible low-barrier flipping choice for short- to mid-term traders in the current market: 1. **Typical Margins:** - The buy/sell spread is commonly **5-8%** given its relatively low price and moderate liquidity. - Daily flips of ~10 Decimations could yield **200k–400k GP** profit on average, depending on buy/sell thresholds. 2. **Short-Term Strategy:** - Look for bulk purchases during low-Zammy or ranged-PvM days (where the bow is unused). - Sell during Treasure Hunter events or minor ranged buffs, as small hype spikes can yield an ~10% markup window. 3. **Higher-Risk Plays:** - Acquire stock if speculative March 2024 ranged changes hit test servers and favor Decimation’s adrenaline mechanics. --- ### **Related Investment Options** While Decimation's growth potential is limited, here are similar alternatives with better prospects or uses: 1. **Blightbound Crossbows:** - T92 ranged dual-wield weapons that are consistently meta-relevant for single-target bosses. These are a safer PvM investment where ranged remains competitive. 2. **Shadow Glaives:** - Longstanding low-tier PvM options for AoE crowd clearing. While not high-tradability, their value often mirrors Decimation’s patterns and provide insight into general ranged trends. 3. **Seren Godbow:** - A premium masterwork bow with a rare spec ability. Expensive, but its price rises during updates favoring high-tier PvM/competitive ranged metas. --- ### **Seasonal Market Trends** Understanding cyclical RuneScape markets can amplify your trading profits: 1. **Positive Market Cycles:** - ***December to January (Holiday Buffs):*** - Treasure Hunter promotions and returning holiday players often temporarily increase demand for mid-level PvM gear, including Decimation (~5-10% bump likely). - ***Spring Balance Updates:*** - Updates around skill balancing, including the expected **Combat Update in March 2024**, often cause speculative market fluctuations. 2. **Negative Market Trends:** - ***Summer Crashes:*** - Attendance dips in May–June, and GP sinks often exacerbate price crashes. Treasure Hunter may flood the economy with tradables like Decimation. --- In summary, Decimation is currently a low-value, high-speculation item due to combat meta shifts and significant price erosion caused by dupes and player confidence issues. Its price history suggests *brief speculation windows* tied to *ranged content rebalance whispers*. For better mid-level flipping or investment growth, prioritize items with stronger recent demand, such as dual-wield crossbows or consumables like Scrims of Aggression alongside seasonal PvM challenges.