### Summary of the Elite Sirenic Hauberk The Elite Sirenic Hauberk is one of the most sought-after high-tier items in RuneScape 3, serving as a powerful piece of ranged tank armor. It is crafted by fusing regular Sirenic armor with Elite Dungeon boss drops (e.g., Fungal Components from Seiryu the Azure Serpent). Released on **October 17, 2017**, alongside the introduction of Elite Dungeons, it is classified as degradable power armor, vanishing after full degradation. Notable for its impressive damage-boosting properties against advanced bosses like Raksha, Kerapac, and Croesus, the Elite Sirenic Hauberk is considered an endgame item for Ranged users. Its overall rarity stems from the tedious process of obtaining Sirenic Scales or Elder God Wars Dungeon materials needed to create it. --- ### Price Summary and Historical Trends From the dataset provided, it’s evident that the Elite Sirenic Hauberk’s price trends correlate strongly with major game updates and in-game gold influxes: 1. **Recent Price Dips (December 2024):** The price of 349M (a steep decline from its previous 489M in November) is likely due to the **GIM bank dupes (Nov 2024)** and **Max Cash exploit in May 2024**, which injected billions into the economy, reducing confidence in high-value armor as hyperinflation increases. 2. **Price Peaks (2023 - Mid 2024):** - The **August 2023 Necromancy release** sparked a surge in armor demand as players looked for optimal setups to integrate new abilities. The price hit 610M in June 2023, just before the Necromancy launch. - Similarly, the **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** release reignited interest in endgame PvM gear, maintaining prices above the 500M mark. 3. **Long-Term Decline:** Comparing the item’s trajectory since late 2023 (350M base to 490M peak, then falling to ~350M again), its resilience in surges indicates consistent relevance for PvM—but subject to economic volatility caused by dupes and exploits. --- ### Price Prediction (Q1-Q2 2025) Given historical trends, **Elite Sirenic Hauberk will likely stabilize between 375M-450M over the next few months.** #### Key Driving Factors: - **Combat Updates (Spring 2024):** The March 2024 combat update improved hybrid builds and made alternative armor setups more viable, potentially stifling demand for high-end ranged armor. This will likely affect demand in early 2025, capping prices at ~450M. - **Economic Stability:** If no further economic exploits (e.g., dupes, GP overinjections, Treasure Hunter boosts) occur, the armor may see slow recovery as inflation subsides. - **Player Base Activity:** Events like **Double XP Live (likely February 2025)** often create rising demand as PvM-focused players reengage and invest in endgame items, slightly boosting prices. --- ### Flipping Margins The current market conditions suggest: - **Buy range:** 340M - 360M (undervalued during ongoing dupe-related instability). - **Sell range:** 370M - 390M (small stabilization margin to capitalize on quick flips). - Typical flipping margins target **20M-40M per trade**, assuming active monitoring of supply spikes (e.g., redistributions after Treasure Hunter events). --- ### Similar Items to Consider for Portfolio Diversification 1. **Malevolent Cuirass:** A degradable melee variant of power armor. Its crafting relies on Reinforced Dragon Metal (ED1 drops) and is similarly affected by PvM popularity, but often fluctuates more with combat-centric updates. 2. **Elite Tectonic Robe Top:** A parallel in the Magic power armor category. It sees price spikes before wide dungeon updates or Necromancy patches due to its high burst damage synergies. 3. **Cryptbloom Top:** Hybrid armor designed for tanking (magic focus). Its sustained utility in Croesus or high-def PvM leads to seasonally predictable recoveries, making it a safer long-term hold. --- ### Seasonal Trading Advice: Profitable & Risky Windows #### Positive Seasons (Spring/Summer): - **Double XP Live (February/March):** Demand rises as players reassess their setups, pushing prices slightly higher, ideal for pivots on quick investments. - **New Boss Content:** Historically, updates like the **Sanctum of Rebirth (Summer 2024)** created sustained buy pressure for high-tier PvM gear. #### Negative Seasons (Autumn/Winter): - **Post-Hero Pass Updates (ongoing):** Expansions to microtransactions often destabilize the market, adding oversupply via Treasure Hunter. Be wary of **December-January** when in-game events may devalue armor. - **Post-Summer Lulls:** Player activity drops late Summer, dragging demand and trading volumes lower—avoid extended holds during this window. By diversifying into multiple items across seasons, holding during PvM-focused expansions, and exiting slowly after exploits, you can mitigate long-term risks while optimizing profits.