### Dormant Zaros Godsword Analysis #### Summary: The **Dormant Zaros Godsword** is an uncharged component of the *Zaros Godsword*, a high-value item introduced to **RuneScape 3** alongside the **Elder God Wars Dungeon: City of Senntisten update** in July 2021. To create the functional Zaros Godsword, the dormant item must be combined with an essence obtained from Elder God Wars bosses. It is highly coveted for its association with the Zarosian pantheon and its combination of aesthetics, lore significance, and usefulness in high-end combat scenarios when upgraded. #### Release Date: **July 26, 2021** (With Elder God Wars). #### Rarity and Market Context: The Dormant Zaros Godsword is moderately rare, as it only drops from high-tier bosses in the Elder God Wars Dungeon, specifically the **Arch-Glacor** and **Croesus**, depending on the difficulty. Its rarity scales with boss enrage levels, making it more accessible to proficient PvM players but still less common than purely cosmetic rares or Treasure Hunter-exclusive items. The major price spikes are tied to how "meta" the Zaros Godsword is in combat and how economically viable it remains to charge the dormant version. Like most Elder God Wars drops, it is subject to significant price fluctuations tied to boss popularity and PvM-related updates. --- ### Historical Price Data Insights: Below is a deep interpretation of price movements using the provided timeline of events: 1. **2023 Price Drop (July - November):** - **Price (~11M - 33M):** The Dormant Godsword reached a low point in **July 2023 (11M)** after Necromancy's release in **August 2023**, which disrupted combat meta. Player focus shifted toward Necromancy-related upgrades, diminishing demand for Zaros-related items. - Partial price recovery in **November 2023 (~33M)** came as the Black Partyhat event drew in more wealthier players, increasing demand for lucrative flips. 2. **Sharp Decline in Q1 2024:** - **Price (~15M - 8M):** Key dips in **March 2024 (~8M)** coincide with the **combat update** (March 2024), which may have reduced the relative combat utility of the Zaros Godsword, resulting in reduced usage. Additionally, speculation surrounding **April's Jagex GP injection to Treasure Hunter** may have lowered item values across the board. 3. **Massive Rally Post-July 2024:** - **Price (~51M in October 2024):** Following the **Sanctum of Rebirth raid release (July 2024)** and the **Mining/Smithing update**, players sought high-end gear again, likely revitalizing demand for Zaros Godswords in PvM. This surge would also benefit from scarcity caused by sustained low drop volumes from Elder God Wars bosses during Necromancy's dominance. 4. **Rarity with Elder God Wars Dungeon Revisited:** By late 2024, the Elder God Wars content is being farmed less as new challenges like **Sanctum** take the stage. A reduced supply of dormant components in circulation will naturally increase prices. --- ### Price Prediction for the Next Few Months: Taking into account the historical trends and external updates in RuneScape's economy and PvM meta: 1. **Q4 2024 (November - December):** - Anticipate minor corrections downward in light of: - **GIM bug exploits (Nov 2024),** which may saturate the market further. - Focus of wealthier players shifting toward recently released Black Partyhat (2023) or speculative flips going into the holiday season. - Expect price to stabilize around **40M - 50M** as PvM content stabilizes with the Sanctum raid cooldown. 2. **Q1 2025:** - Dormant Zaros Godsword will likely recover significantly if PvM-focused updates dominate upcoming patches, maintaining **~50M - 60M** prices due to scarcity-driven demand for Zarosian-specific PvM gear. **Long-term:** Price spikes in late 2025 are plausible if "Elder God Wars"-linked content sees a resurgence (via rework or boss revamps) or Treasure Hunter mechanics force investment into PvM endgame items. --- ### Flipping Margins: The Dormant Zaros Godsword tends to vary by **5-10% daily**, especially during periods of unsteady supply. For a high-buyer: - **Typical Margins:** Expect daily fluctuations of **1M - 4M on mid-tier volumes** with careful observation. - **Best Periods:** Seasonal patches introducing new PvM raids or nerfing Necromancy would allow for opportunistic buys. Example: When prices ranged ~8M-11M in **March 2024**, multiple 3M+ margin flips were possible. A similar situation might occur in future sell-offs tied to new Treasure Hunter cash influxes from Jagex. --- ### Comparable Items to Invest In: 1. **Dormant Seren Godsword:** Often mirrors market behavior of Zaros items due to shared Elder God Wars origins. - Strong synergy if Seren-centric bossing updates occur. 2. **Scripture of Ful:** Shares demand with high-end PvM users and pairs strategically with Dormant Zaros Godsword flips during enrage-focused bossing weeks. 3. **Fractured Staff of Armadyl (Components):** Another Elder God Wars staple, prices mimic Dormant gear trends. --- ### Seasonal Predictions: **Positive Price Seasons:** - **Post-content drops:** PvM updates tend to spike demand for endgame Elder God Wars gear (e.g., After Sanctum in July 2024). - **Speculative preholiday markets:** Wealthier players engage in PvM upgrades (October - December annually). **Negative Price Seasons:** - **Treasure Hunter injection events (e.g., April 2024):** Floods GP into the market, which negatively impacts non-rare items. - **Post-major updates (e.g., Necromancy):** Items outside the update scope lose relevance temporarily until balance patches incentivize their return. --- ### Conclusion: The Dormant Zaros Godsword is a volatile yet lucrative investment piece influenced heavily by RuneScape’s shifting PvM metas and economic events. Successful flipping requires watching PvM-focused updates, Treasure Hunter announcements, and GP injection timelines. Diversify with similar Elder God Wars items like Seren components or niche PvM-relevant scriptures.