### Summary, Release, and Rarity of *Chaotic Berserk Cosmetic Ability Scroll* The *Chaotic Berserk Cosmetic Ability Scroll* is a purely cosmetic item in RuneScape 3 that enhances a player’s Berserk ultimate by giving it a dynamic and visually impactful chaotic-themed animation. It was introduced as a rare reward from Treasure Hunter on **March 28, 2023**, during the Berserk cosmetic promotion. Its supply is limited, as it was event-locked, and it has not seen any official re-release, barring any future Treasure Hunter events or promotions. The scroll's rarity stems not only from its limited-time availability but also from its narrow player base—appealing mainly to mid-range and high-tier PvMers who use Berserk often, making it a niche yet coveted item. --- ### Historical Price Trends & Insights The price data reveals significant volatility since its release: - **March-April 2023:** Initial release priced the scroll at a staggering **350M-370M GP**, fueled by hype and limited availability. - The **decline toward 250M-152M GP** in subsequent months aligns with the subsiding excitement post-promotion. - **April 29, 2023 -> 251M GP:** Price stabilization likely due to the lack of re-releases but reduced demand. - **June-November 2023:** A sharp decline occurs (i.e., **152M -> 27M GP**) following economic destabilization caused by updates like the Hero Pass backlash (September 2023) and Red Portal bugs (November). Wealth hoarding shifted attention to high-value rares or liquid gold rather than niche cosmetics. - **Late 2023-2024 Recovery:** By **December 2023**, prices recovered from **27M GP->125M GP**, after the release of high-GP generating content like the **Black Partyhat** (December 1). The scroll price rebounded to **156M GP by October 2024**, potentially fueled by limited alternative sources and renewed player interest in expensive cosmetics within post-Necromancy metas. --- ### Price Analysis & Future Predictions #### Key Trends: 1. **Event-Driven Volatility:** This scroll is highly sensitive to economic turbulence. Prices plummeted with updates like the **Scrimshaw dupe** (January 2023) and Red Portal bugs (late 2023/2024), yet rebounded with player confidence regeneration. 2. **Treasured Exclusivity:** Treasure Hunter re-releases could significantly impact its price. If made available again, expect a crash to **5-15M GP**, as supply oversaturates. Jagex has a history of such re-releases to drain wealth (e.g., rare tokens, ornaments). 3. **Necromancy Popularity:** As Necromancy stabilized in popularity post-August 2023, aesthetic customizations like this scroll benefit from synergy with high-tier PvM builds. This may partially explain the late-2024 recovery. #### Prediction: - **Low Estimate (March 2025):** **35M GP** if a re-release or equivalent cosmetic occurs. - **High Estimate:** **190-220M GP**, sustained by interest in high-value legacy cosmetics, provided no flood of GP or supply shocks occur. - **Mid-point Expectation:** **130-140M GP** in 6 months assuming no drastic destabilization (e.g., rare dupes) or major Treasure Hunter drains. --- ### Flipping Margins The Chaotic Berserk scroll has shown significant potential for flipping during its post-crash recovery phases: 1. **Low Recovery Phase (Q4 2023):** Buy-in during suppressed pricing (i.e., 27M GP) and resell in 1-2 months post-stabilization (e.g., at 125M GP) achieved margins exceeding **300-400% profit**. 2. **Stabilized Market (Q3-Q4 2024):** Margins narrow to **10-20M GP per flip** as price stabilizes between buy-in (~140M GP) and sell (~156M GP). Players should focus on short-term instability periods and shift toward long-term holds when updates signal> --- ### Comparative Buy Recommendations #### Similar Items: - *Chaotic Slam Scroll*: Its sister cosmetic scroll from the same Treasure Hunter promotion. Historically, competitive but less niche in design. - *Zaros Godsword Cosmetic Token*: High-end PvM utility aesthetic token periodically spikes in demand when Zaros-focused combat remains meta. - *Eldritch Crossbow Schematic*: A more PvM-focused rare token typically correlates with combat updates. #### When to Buy These: - **Treasure Hunter Wealth Dumps:** Post GP-infusion events (e.g., Treasure Hunter GP injections like April 2024). - **Off-Meta PvM Periods:** Target items with aesthetic PvM appeal, as demand fluctuates cyclically based on popular combat styles, such as Necromancy. --- ### Seasonal Factors 1. **Positive Seasonal Factors for Rising Prices (Buy-in Early):** - Pre-January Patch Cycle: Late December sees players speculating on PvM buffs and gathering assets (e.g., Chaotic Scrolls). - Necromancy Patch Buffs: Future combat buffs or graphical overhauls might boost interest in Berserk customization. - Post-Treasure Hunter Wealth-Draining Events. 2. **Negative Factors for Price Suppression (Sell Quick):** - February-April, often feature Treasure Hunter re-releases, driving prices of legacy cosmetics down. - Major Duplication Exploits: Events such as GP influx devalue rarer and more niche items. By monitoring these events, flipping Chaotic Berserk and similar items becomes highly profitable within RuneScape’s inherently volatile economy.