### Item Overview: Glaiven Boots **Release Date**: February 14, 2011 **Source**: Dropped by Glacors, mid-to-high-level bosses introduced in the Ritual of the Mahjarrat quest. **Category**: High-end, tradeable Magic boots designed for mage-focused combat, offering balanced stats for offense. **Rarity**: Moderate rarity due to being tied to specific PvM boss content, fluctuating supply by player engagement with Glacors, and competing equipment upgrades over time. Glaiven Boots were a best-in-slot Magic item upon release but are now overshadowed by upgrades like the *Fsoa-era* meta (Fractured Staff of Armadyl). Their historical relevance keeps their value moderately high, appealing to collectors, mid-to-high-level mages, and flippers, despite newer boots surpassing them. --- ### Price Analysis: Observed Trends **Historical Data Evaluation**: The following conclusions emerge from the price data provided: 1. **2023 Lows**: Prices sat around **13.5M GP (Feb 2023)**, reflecting the aftermath of systemic economic issues including the heavy gold introduction (Scrimshaw dupe in Jan 2023) and hacks. Moreover, Necromancy didn't synergize with this equipment, further suppressing demand. 2. **Late 2023 Recovery**: By October 2023, they spiked to **19.6M**, likely tied to increased general player wealth post-Necromancy updates and new PvM engagements enhancing mid-game Magic boot demand. 3. **Early 2024 Volatility**: Prices showed drastic swings. **Feb 2024 (39.5M)** marked a peak likely spurred by anticipation of the **March 2024 Combat Update**, which restructured combat scaling and boosts to underutilized Magic gear. **Feb dip to 24.3M** followed a week later as speculative purchasing cooled. 4. **Current Stability (June 2024)**: Prices stabilized around **29.5M**, benefitting from post-Combat Update improvements for Magic gear utility and increased engagement with mid-PvM bosses like Glacors. --- ### Influencing Factors: **Past Price Dips**: - January 2023: Scrimshaw dupe, flooding the economy with gold, devalued most items. - February 2023: Post-hack chaos; trust in the economy waned. **Past Price Spikes**: - September 2021: The *Croesus Boss release* indirectly increased prices as Magic set synergies became desirable in mid-PvM content. - March 2024: Anticipation of and adjustments from the *Combat Update* rekindled use of niche boots like Glaiven. **Recent Developments**: - June 2024’s **Max Cash exploit** introduces inflation again; while benefiting high-end items initially (like Glaiven Boots), it threatens long-term stability. --- ### Price Prediction (Next Few Months): 1. **Short-Term (July - Aug 2024)**: Moderate upward trend expected. The **Sanctum of Rebirth release in July 2024** will likely spike Glaiven Boots’ value slightly, as mid-PvM boots like these may see temporary combat utility among returning players. Expect prices around **32-33M GP** by August. 2. **Mid-Term (Sept - Nov 2024)**: A decline is probable. With newer items (or comparable upgrades) introduced alongside potential dupes or hacks (e.g., GIM bank bug in Nov 2024), Glaiven Boots could revert to **24-26M GP**. Scarcity from lack of farming contributes to a floor. 3. **End 2024 Outlook**: Seasonal price increases are unlikely given ongoing dupes—hyperinflation would mean increased nominal value (possibly **35M GP+**), though purchasing power parity remains flat. --- ### Flipping Insights: **Recommended Margins**: - Current margin window: **5-7M GP per flip** with optimal buy-sell spread when leveraging overnights or low-cost buying during low player activity hours. - **Buy Zones**: Fridays pre-reset when PvM activity peaks, driving sales. - **Sell Zones**: Reset Mondays, as PvM demand pushes prices upward slightly before midweek restocks. --- ### Similar Items to Watch: 1. **Steadfast Boots (Melee)**: Similar farming source (Glacors). Often fluctuate with Glaiven Boots due to shared drops, but they cater to Melee builds instead. 2. **Blightbound Crossbow Off-hand Overstocks (PvP)**: In times of economy flux, off-hands driven down post-Ranged supply resets are quick to rebound. --- ### Seasonal Trends: **Positive Seasons**: - Summer events like **July content releases** bolster Magic-based boot demand due to increased player count and mid-PvM focus. - Holiday spikes around **Nov-Dec** (player returns post-Halloween) fuel demand for all mid-tier gear. **Negative Trends**: - Following economic shocks; post-Necromancy hacks or dupes (e.g., **Aug 2023** Gold exploits) disrupted prolonged growth for minor relic-equipment like Glaiven. - Post-TH events like **Apr 2024 Treasure Hunter GP injection**, which devalues mid-tier items amidst flooded markets. --- ### Strategy Summary: Glaiven Boots remain a volatile but viable flipping item, especially during short-term price boosts. Diversify with related Glacor drops and prioritize flipping during PvM-triggered chaos to maximize profit margins. Watch out for upcoming **Sanctum of Rebirth activity (July)** to bolster both intrinsic demand and flipping viability.