### Summary of Azure Berserk Cosmetic Ability Scroll The **Azure Berserk cosmetic ability scroll** is a rare RuneScape 3 item introduced as part of Treasure Hunter cosmetics that allows the owner to customize the visual effect of the **Berserk ability** used in melee combat. This scroll enhances the base Berserk ability with a unique azure-themed animation, making it highly desirable for players who prioritize customization and aesthetics in their combat rotations, particularly in PvM or social settings. - **Release Date**: Likely distributed via a Treasure Hunter promotion (specific release date unclear but aligns with patterns like similar rare cosmetics). - **Rarity**: It is classified as a **super-rare reward**, available briefly during the promotion window it was tied to. Its rarity has been compounded by limited circulation and the eventual removal from Treasure Hunter, making it a sought-after discontinued item. ### Price Prediction Analysis The item’s historical price trajectory reveals significant volatility tied primarily to the economy and external events. The scroll initially surged around June 2023 to a **massive high of 544M GP** due to speculation and rarity—likely exacerbated by new liquidity from duping events (e.g., **Duel Arena Scrimshaw Dupe,** June 2023). Following the **Hero Pass backlash in September 2023** and the release of **Necromancy (August 2023),** its price stabilized between 170–200M GP. Key trends include: 1. **Spikes (Nov–Dec 2023):** Key updates during November/December 2023, like the **Black Partyhat release** and other market liquidity events, pushed its value to **240M+** before sharply dropping. 2. **December 2023 Crash (35M-10M GP):** A massive decline between late December and early March 2024 may have been driven by external factors or Treasure Hunter re-releases causing rapid devaluation. 3. **March 2024 onwards:** Further crash due to increased GP supply (Treasure Hunter GP injection or exploits in April 2024) settled the price close to **10M GP**, a massive devaluation from its original highs. #### Forecast for the Next 6 Months: - **Short-Term (April–June 2024):** The price is likely to stabilize between **8–12M GP**, given the diminished demand after re-releases or oversaturation in circulation. The potential **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** content update could revive interest in total cosmetics if engaging combats arise. - **Medium-Term (July–December 2024):** This depends on whether demand surges from new Treasure Hunter cosmetics. If officially discontinued, **speculative investors may drive a rebound to 15–20M.** - **Caveat**: Any Treasure Hunter promotion or dupe affecting cosmetics uniformly will suppress even niche collectible items like this. ### Flipping Margins and Buy/Sell Strategy: Given the 2024 value decline near **10M, flipping margins** for this item are now thinner but exist for risk-tolerant merchants. 1. **Typical Margins**: - On slow-trade days, you can anticipate **500K–1.2M GP** profit per unit by buying at low GE offers (9M–9.5M) and selling at mid offloads (~10.3M upwards). - Volume flipping for heavier returns is ineffective, given low liquidity—it’s a niche item primarily traded among collectors. 2. **Optimal Flipping Periods:** - The **post-Treasure Hunter promotional troughs** (April to June 2024) present excellent buying periods. Accumulate stocks when GP from updates floods into consumables, leaving cosmetic items neglected. - Sell before seasonal surges like **November holiday events** when collector items spike slightly due to influxes of holiday players. ### Comparative Investment Options: For players seeking cosmetic-item flips or similar speculative items, consider: 1. **Lively Guardian cosmetic scroll** (linked to more dynamic abilities): Often follows similar price trends tied to visual uniqueness. 2. **Shadow-Necromancy unlocks**: Necromancy updates from August 2023 boosted rare outfits and younger skilling cosmetics long-term. 3. Discontinued **Treasure Hunter aura refreshes or rare head-pieces (Black Santa hats):** - Santa-like variations provide reseller predictable speculative cycles SENITIVE. Keep with trending **Bond Strain Pricing-season’s diminishing