### **Hood of Subjugation Analysis** #### **Summary & Rarity** The Hood of Subjugation is part of the Subjugation equipment line, introduced on **July 1, 2011** with the release of the God Wars Dungeon boss **K'ril Tsutsaroth** in RuneScape 3. It is a mid-level magic item designed for players engaging in PvM (Player vs. Monster) encounters, catering specifically to situations where prayer bonuses and decent magic stats are crucial. As a drop from K'ril Tsutsaroth, its rarity is moderate—affected by the general drop rate mechanics of the God Wars Dungeon. In today’s game, the Hood has a relatively niche appeal due to a reliance on superior alternatives like Virtus or Anima gear for serious PvM. However, the Hood retains market value because of mid-tier demand, limited supply, and being a cosmetic choice among fashion-scape players. #### **Historical Price Analysis & Trends** The Hood's price trend in recent months reveals significant volatility: 1. The **August-September 2023 spike** correlates primarily with the **Necromancy release (08/07/2023)**, which spiked demand for low- to mid-level gear and enchanted items due to new training methods. The Hood reached **25M** on **08/21/2023**, driven by speculation and increased player activity tailoring their setups for Necromancy breakpoints. 2. Prices plummeted shortly after the **Hero Pass backlash (September 2023)** and stabilized at **~10-12M**, weakened by a market-wide loss of confidence and temporary reduction in GP circulation. 3. The **Black Partyhat release (12/01/2023)** caused a widespread liquidity drain, leading to another dip in Hood prices, further exacerbated by **Treasure Hunter’s introduction of gold rewards** in **April 2024** which inflated GP supply. 4. Since early 2024, consistent price corrections arose from the **Gummy reward dupe (04/01/2024)** and **Max Cash exploit (05/15/2024)**, driving the Hood temporarily downward to a later recovery in June. #### **Current Price Insights** - Current price (as of June 2024): **5.865M** - Low point in April (likely tied to duping and gold injection): **~3.76M** - Historical high during spikes: **25M (August 2023)** The Hood's price was notably resilient after **Treasure Hunter GP inflation**, as mid-level buyers across Necromancy adaptations and other skilling-related combat needs buoyed demand. --- ### **Price Prediction: July-December 2024** Based on historical patterns and upcoming events: - **Short-term (July-August 2024):** The **Sanctum of Rebirth** release (07/22/2024) could bolster demand for gear designed for prayer bonuses, particularly if the new content introduces NPCs with prayer drain mechanics. A small price bump to **6.5M-8M** is plausible due to mid-tier players preparing for this content. - **Mid-term (August-September 2024):** The **Mining and Smithing Rework (08/12/2024)** may have negligible effects on Hood demand since it's unrelated to Smithing usage. Prices could stabilize or drop slightly to **5M-6M**, barring unforeseen Treasure Hunter promotions. - **Long-term (November 2024 onward):** The **GIM bank dupe (November 2024)** could flood the market with GP or items once again, likely causing a dip in Hood prices to as low as **4-5M**. **Key Factors to Watch:** - Continued Treasure Hunter GP injections. - Player sentiment after Hero Pass revisions. - Potential Necromancy balancing tweaks that may restore higher-tier Hood appeal. --- ### **Flipping Margins** During high-volume periods (like Necromancy spikes or post-update fluctuations), the Hood typically has **5-10% margins** for flipping on the Grand Exchange, equating to **~300-600K per trade**. Low-volume periods tend to shrink profits to **3-5% margins (~150-300K)** due to reduced demand. Effective flipping windows: 1. Immediately after system updates or major events. 2. During daily reset when activity peaks. Pro Tip: Leverage Treasure Hunter promotions where GP-infused tradables cause item sell-offs at lower rates. Purchase during a pre-reset market dip, and resell after prices stabilize. --- ### **Similar Items to Buy & Investment Strategies** 1. **Garb of Subjugation (Chest):** This higher-value companion to the Hood often mirrors its price movement. Target **Garb flipping** during Necromancy or PvM-related updates for larger profit margins (~10-15%). 2. **Virtus Masks or Robes:** While more expensive overall, these high-tier items spike reliably with updates favoring high-magic attack bonuses. 3. **Anima Core of Seren (Helmet):** Mid-level alternative with stronger defenses and demand correlating to Seren-related updates or skilling bosses. 4. **Third-Age Mage Hat:** A niche cosmetic but safe store of wealth, especially during GP inflation crises. **Flipping Tactic:** Spread capital across these items to hedge risk during unpredictable dips, focusing on long-tail flipping (~24-48 hour listings). --- ### **Seasonal Trends** - **Positive Outcomes (Summer and Early Winter):** Player activity traditionally peaks due to summer releases (major combat updates) and holiday events in December. Prices trend upward during hype phases. - **Negative Outcomes (Post-Holiday Slumps):** January and early spring typically see lower player activity and item sell-offs, driving prices downward. Watch out for GP injections via bonds or Treasure Hunter promos during this time. For Hoods specifically, the **Necromancy release's anniversary (mid-2024)** could create a mini-spike if promotional events revive old player interest. --- ### TL;DR The Hood of Subjugation is a volatile, mid-tier item with rare spikes driven by content updates, GP inflation, and Necromancy training demands. Short-term gains appear possible during **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)**, with long-term downturns likely near November. Current flipping margins average **5-10%**, and pairing investments with Subjugation Garb or Virtus gear can help hedge risk. Stick to summer updates and holiday seasons for maximized returns.