### **Summary of the Fungal Assault Cosmetic Ability Scroll** The Fungal Assault ability scroll is a rare cosmetic unlock that alters the animation for the Assault ability used by melee players, adding a fungal-themed aesthetic. It was originally released as a promotional Treasure Hunter item during a themed event tied to the Necrotic Mushroom, coinciding with the release of Necromancy in August 2023. Due to the limited time frame for obtaining the item and its status as a cosmetic (popular among high-level players who prefer customization and rarity), it has become a fluctuating commodity in the RuneScape economy. **Rarity Level:** Moderate-to-high. While not locked behind exceptionally difficult gameplay, its Treasure Hunter exclusivity in combination with Necromancy's popularity boosted its demand initially. Once the promotion ended, supply dried up, increasing its value significantly. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis** 1. **Initial Boom (August-September 2023):** - Release coincided with massive player interest in Necromancy (August 7, 2023). Prices spiked as wealthy players sought the item to complement their aesthetic builds. The price surged artificially on August 24, 2023, hitting **140M GP** briefly due to speculative buying. - However, prices normalized quickly to hover around **30M GP** once demand cooled post-release hype. 2. **Hero Pass Backlash (September 2023):** - Discontent surrounding the Hero Pass launch on September 5, 2023, reduced overall engagement with Treasure Hunter and RuneScape’s monetized systems. As fewer high-spenders participated in acquiring cosmetic-based items, prices dipped to **~10M GP**. A temporary low was observed at **9M GP** by early September. 3. **Recovery and Stability (October-December 2023):** - As Necromancy's lasting value solidified and the economic impact of updates stabilized, prices recovered to **~16-30M GP.** The Black Partyhat release on December 1, 2023, likely diverted attention away from items like Fungal Assault, holding prices stagnant. 4. **March-May 2024 Turbulence:** - Updates like Easter Egg Pets (April 2024) and Treasure Hunter GP (April 10, 2024) infusions sparked GP inflation. The Max Cash Exploit (May 2024) was particularly damaging, flooding the market with artificial wealth. As a result, Fungal Assault fell as low as **~9M GP** in March due to liquidity reallocations but resurged to **30M GP** in June due to wealth overflow and scarcity. --- ### **Price Prediction: Next Few Months** Given historical trends, the price trajectory for Fungal Assault will likely follow a volatile but gradual upward trend. Major considerations: - Cosmetic items with limited re-releases generally appreciate over time unless directly reintroduced. Fungal Assault's scarcity gives it long-term potential. - The **Sanctum of Rebirth** (July 2024) or Mining and Smithing rework (August 2024) could generate renewed interest in RuneScape and spark additional purchasing activity. - Inflation from dupes and Treasure Hunter GP rewards contributes to a baseline price increase. **Forecast (Next 3 Months):** - **July 2024:** 35-40M GP, driven by speculative collection ahead of potential rework-related spending sprees. - **August 2024:** 40-45M, assuming no direct re-release. Mid-tier cosmetics may rise as wealth distribution stabilizes amid summer events. - **September 2024:** Potential stagnation (~45M), with a slight downturn if players liquidate assets to accommodate new GIM dupes or seasonal trends. --- ### **Flipping Margins** **Current Margins (June 2024):** - Quickbuy (offer): ~28-29M GP. - Quick-sell (offer): ~30-32M GP. - Typical flipping margin: ~1-3M GP, ~5-10% on profit if handled quickly. **Flipping Tips:** - During volatility spikes (e.g., after GP-infusing updates like the Max Cash exploit), margins can briefly widen. This is an excellent short-term trading window for aggressive profit-seekers. - Hold during lulls, as GP crashes temporarily suppress demand but not the intrinsic rarity value. --- ### **Similar Investments** If you’re looking for other items with comparable trends, consider the following: 1. **Radiant Fury Ability Scroll (melee cosmetic):** - Shares a similarity with Fungal Assault as a cosmetic melee-themed ability. - Historically appreciates over time but prone to price cycling due to re-releases. 2. **Necrotic Weapon Overrides:** - Released alongside Necromancy; fewer in circulation but high demand from players completing thematic loadouts. 3. **Black Partyhat (December 2023):** - A limited-edition item released in tandem with Treasure Hunter. Increasingly rare and valuable. 4. **Gillyflower Hat and Accessories:** - Part of unique seasonal Treasure Hunter rewards with niche aesthetics that have long-term collection appeal. --- ### **Seasonal Effect on Prices** 1. **Positive Price Movement Periods:** - **Summer Events (July-August):** Typically high player engagement spurs economic growth, especially with GP-inspired inflation from Treasure Hunter events or major content updates. - **Winter Holidays (December-January):** Players return for holiday events, stimulating demand for rare items. 2. **Negative Price Movement Periods:** - **Spring (March-May):** Historically lower engagement combined with wealth-reducing updates (e.g., GIM bugs bring panic selling). - Post Hero Pass and PvP-related backlash have also led to stagnations. By diversifying across similar investments and timing your flips during high-demand months, you'll maximize potential profits without being overly exposed to short-term dips.