### **Fungal Hurricane Cosmetic Ability Scroll: Summary**
The Fungal Hurricane cosmetic ability scroll was first introduced as a limited-edition reward, most likely tied to Treasure Hunter or promotional events. The scroll unlocks a cosmetic override for the Hurricane ability, transforming its animation into an eye-catching fungal-themed effect. While cosmetic overrides are often sought after for their aesthetic appeal, this scroll’s limited accessibility and demand from collectors have made it a speculative investment item.
**Release Date and Rarity:**
The exact release date is unclear but likely ties to recent Treasure Hunter promotions or Necromancy-related events given its thematic alignment with nature and combat. Rarity stems from its exclusive acquisition method rather than from widespread in-game utility. Its appeal is amplified by its compatibility with popular combat setups and the scarcity associated with cosmetics.
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### **Price Analysis and Trends**
**Snapshot of Historical Data:**
- Early prices (August 2023) began volatile, trading between *20M and 79M GP*, likely due to high initial speculation after acquisition from Treasure Hunter.
- Peaks in **March 2024 (~182.7M)** and **October 2024 (~299.9M)** suggest speculative spikes driven by scarcity rather than any direct gameplay utility.
**Correlations with Historical Events:**
1. **Max Combat Level Update (August 2023):** The initial surge of 50-70M aligned with the Max Combat update may have boosted demand, as players sought rare cosmetics for the revamped skill emphasis.
2. **Hero Pass Backlash (September 2023):** The cosmetic market destabilized briefly after the backlash. Essentials like overrides gained temporary interest, but overall volumes remained low.
3. **Combat Update (March 2024):** Another significant spike corresponds with this update. Players often hoard unique ability cosmetics during combat or skill reworks to enhance their appearance during new gameplay content meta-shifts.
4. **Post-Treasure Hunter Inflation (April 2024):** The introduction of 1B GP rewards on Treasure Hunter exacerbated inflation and speculation, driving casual buyers out and leaving high-net-worth investors to bid up prices artificially.
5. **Mining & Smithing Rework (August 2024):** This may have inadvertently decreased liquidity within the market, leading to suppressed prices in mid-2024 (~67M GP low in June).
**Contributing Factors to Spikes/Drops:**
- **Market Manipulation:** As a cosmetic item with limited supply, it’s highly prone to merchant flipping cycles and speculative manipulation, with artificially induced spikes to attract gullible buyers.
- **Scarcity Reinforcement:** No noted updates suggest a re-release in Treasure Hunter, solidifying limited supply. Re-releases could have caused abrupt crashes but haven’t materialized thus far.
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### **Price Prediction (Late 2024 to Early 2025)**
- **Short Term (1-3 Months):** Expect stabilization between **150M-320M GP**, with spikes contingent upon player-driven factors such as holiday events or Treasure Hunter promos drawing attention away.
- **Medium Term (3-6 Months):** Prices pivot into slightly lower ranges **(120M-200M GP)** due to speculative sell-offs at year-end. However, prices may also spike briefly if no competing cosmetics are released during Christmas or New Year events.
- **Investment Risks:** High volatility means price manipulation or the unexpected re-release of the scroll could send prices plummeting overnight.
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### **Typical Flipping Margins**
The Fungal Hurricane scroll is prime for profit through flipping given the wide price ranges captured in its data history.
- **Optimal Buy Margins:** ~100M-150M GP near dips (e.g., mid-2024 pricing).
- **Sell Margins During Spikes:** 200M-280M+ GP during hyped updates like major skill or combat patches or holiday-themed events.
- **Margin Percentage:** Expect 30%-50% profit margins when timed correctly, especially if holding long enough for scarcity-driven spikes.
To maximize profits:
- Purchase during seasonal lows, such as after Treasure Hunter GP-heavy promos or cash injection events.
- Sell within 72 hours of new meta or combat-related promotional items when aesthetics demand spikes naturally.
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### **Similar Investments to Consider**
1. **Nature-themed or Combat-related Overrides:**
- **Druidic Ritualist Override Set:** Popular due to crossover appeal with Nature-themed content like Necromancy.
- **Necrotic-themed Animations:** Matches updates to combat level meta and appeals broadly.
2. **Limited Edition Scrolls:**
- **Bladed Dive Animation Scrolls:** High liquidity and lower volatility compared to cosmetics.
- **Storm Shards and Shatter Animations:** These experience similar hype during combat updates or reworks.
3. **Seasonal Treasure Hunter Exclusives:**
- Look for items released alongside holidays like *Christmas or Easter* to buy into initial dips when players flood the market with fresh unlocks.
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### **Seasonal Insights**
- **Positive Times for Prices:**
- Pre-major update (e.g., skill reworks, Max Combat upgrades), which entice players to invest in visual customization.
- Holiday Seasons (**December, April**) tend to favor market activity where rare limited-edition items are favored gifts or investments.
- **Negative Times for Prices:**
- Post-duplication/inflation events (**April 2024 Easter Dupes and Max Cash Exploit**) when GP supply increases heavily lower speculative spending ability.
- Peak Treasure Hunter promotions or GP prize boosts (**April or October 2024**), which divert attention from aesthetics to direct in-game power augmentations.
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### **Conclusion: Strategic Path Forward**
Fungal Hurricane Scroll is a highly speculative, manipulable item due to its limited-purpose role. To maximize ROI:
1. **Enter:** Purchase between **100M-150M GP**, ideally post-Christmas/New Year inflation cool-offs or seasonal GP floods.
2. **Exit:** Sell above **250M GP** following any combat rework teasers or limited-edition skill-related boosts.
3. Balance risk by diversifying into broadly appealing overrides like Bladed Dive or Nature-themed sets for liquidity and versatility during volatile market phases.
Ely Intelligence Analysis